Bruce Blakeman's dominant 90.5% implied probability in the New York Republican gubernatorial primary market reflects his frontrunner status in early Siena Research Institute polls, where he leads potential rivals by double digits among GOP voters, bolstered by his record as Nassau County Executive emphasizing crime reduction and fiscal restraint in a key suburban battleground. Trader sentiment favors his local name recognition and organizational strength amid sparse competition, with Pat Hahn's 5.5% tied to Western New York support and Elise Stefanik's slim 2.4% odds signaling her congressional focus over a statewide bid. Realistic challenges include a high-profile endorsement shift, such as from former President Trump, Stefanik's late entry, or fresh polling surprises ahead of 2026 filing deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ブルース・ブレイクマン 91%
パット・ハーン 6.1%
エリース・ステファニク 2.4%
デイビッド・タリー <1%
$29,411 Vol.
$29,411 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
ブルース・ブレイクマン
91%
パット・ハーン
6%
エリース・ステファニク
2%
デイビッド・タリー
1%
ベッツィ・マッコーイ
<1%
ブルース・ブレイクマン 91%
パット・ハーン 6.1%
エリース・ステファニク 2.4%
デイビッド・タリー <1%
$29,411 Vol.
$29,411 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
ブルース・ブレイクマン
$10,279 Vol.
91%
パット・ハーン
$2,568 Vol.
6%
エリース・ステファニク
$11,230 Vol.
2%
デイビッド・タリー
$3,515 Vol.
1%
ベッツィ・マッコーイ
$1,819 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET
音量
$29,411終了日
Jun 23, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$29,411終了日
Jun 23, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bruce Blakeman's dominant 90.5% implied probability in the New York Republican gubernatorial primary market reflects his frontrunner status in early Siena Research Institute polls, where he leads potential rivals by double digits among GOP voters, bolstered by his record as Nassau County Executive emphasizing crime reduction and fiscal restraint in a key suburban battleground. Trader sentiment favors his local name recognition and organizational strength amid sparse competition, with Pat Hahn's 5.5% tied to Western New York support and Elise Stefanik's slim 2.4% odds signaling her congressional focus over a statewide bid. Realistic challenges include a high-profile endorsement shift, such as from former President Trump, Stefanik's late entry, or fresh polling surprises ahead of 2026 filing deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問