Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Brian Shortsleeve a 47% implied probability to win the Massachusetts Republican gubernatorial primary, ahead of Michael Minogue at 38% and Mike Kennealy at 18%, reflecting recent Suffolk University polling where Shortsleeve leads narrowly at 29% to Minogue's 22% and Kennealy's 14%. The race remains tight due to an open field lacking a dominant incumbent, with all three candidates—businessman Shortsleeve, ex-CEO Minogue, and Housing Secretary Kennealy—competing on grassroots energy, executive experience, and state government ties amid limited voter name recognition. Separation could emerge from upcoming fundraising reports due in January, potential endorsements from national GOP figures, or early debate performances ahead of the March 2026 primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ブライアン・ショーツリーブ 45%
マイケル・ミノーグ 40%
マイク・ケネリー 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
ブライアン・ショーツリーブ
45%
マイケル・ミノーグ
40%
マイク・ケネリー
18%
ブライアン・ショーツリーブ 45%
マイケル・ミノーグ 40%
マイク・ケネリー 18%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
ブライアン・ショーツリーブ
$0 Vol.
45%
マイケル・ミノーグ
$0 Vol.
40%
マイク・ケネリー
$6,839 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
音量
$6,839終了日
Sep 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$6,839終了日
Sep 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Brian Shortsleeve a 47% implied probability to win the Massachusetts Republican gubernatorial primary, ahead of Michael Minogue at 38% and Mike Kennealy at 18%, reflecting recent Suffolk University polling where Shortsleeve leads narrowly at 29% to Minogue's 22% and Kennealy's 14%. The race remains tight due to an open field lacking a dominant incumbent, with all three candidates—businessman Shortsleeve, ex-CEO Minogue, and Housing Secretary Kennealy—competing on grassroots energy, executive experience, and state government ties amid limited voter name recognition. Separation could emerge from upcoming fundraising reports due in January, potential endorsements from national GOP figures, or early debate performances ahead of the March 2026 primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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