Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Brian Shortsleeve a 47.5% implied probability to win the Massachusetts Republican gubernatorial primary, edging Michael Minogue at 41.0% and Mike Kennealy at 16.5%, underscoring a tight contest among contenders with complementary profiles—Shortsleeve's entrepreneurial appeal, Minogue's corporate leadership in defense, and Kennealy's prior state cabinet role. Recent internal GOP polls and early fundraising tallies show minimal separation, fueled by low name recognition statewide and a small primary electorate in Democratic-leaning Massachusetts. Dynamics stay compressed absent major catalysts like high-profile endorsements, Trump-aligned backing, or viral debate moments ahead of the March 2026 primary, any of which could shift trader sentiment decisively.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ブライアン・ショーツリーブ 48%
マイケル・ミノーグ 43%
マイク・ケネリー 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
ブライアン・ショーツリーブ
48%
マイケル・ミノーグ
41%
マイク・ケネリー
16%
ブライアン・ショーツリーブ 48%
マイケル・ミノーグ 43%
マイク・ケネリー 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
ブライアン・ショーツリーブ
$0 Vol.
48%
マイケル・ミノーグ
$1,768 Vol.
41%
マイク・ケネリー
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
音量
$1,768終了日
Sep 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$1,768終了日
Sep 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Brian Shortsleeve a 47.5% implied probability to win the Massachusetts Republican gubernatorial primary, edging Michael Minogue at 41.0% and Mike Kennealy at 16.5%, underscoring a tight contest among contenders with complementary profiles—Shortsleeve's entrepreneurial appeal, Minogue's corporate leadership in defense, and Kennealy's prior state cabinet role. Recent internal GOP polls and early fundraising tallies show minimal separation, fueled by low name recognition statewide and a small primary electorate in Democratic-leaning Massachusetts. Dynamics stay compressed absent major catalysts like high-profile endorsements, Trump-aligned backing, or viral debate moments ahead of the March 2026 primary, any of which could shift trader sentiment decisively.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問