Trader consensus in the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary heavily favors Robert Charles at 62.5% implied probability, driven by his strong fundraising totals exceeding $500,000 and endorsements from key state GOP figures, positioning him as the establishment choice ahead of the June 2026 primary. Ben Midgley trails at 14.5% on grassroots momentum and local organizer support, while Jonathan Bush (11.9%) gains from self-funding and conservative activist backing; David Jones (9.0%) benefits from prior legislative experience. Recent developments include Charles' October campaign launch event drawing high-profile attendees and Midgley's viral social media push criticizing rivals, shifting minor volume toward underdogs amid thin early polling data. Upcoming candidate forums could further influence odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ロバート・チャールズ 65%
ベン・ミッジリー 15%
ジョナサン・ブッシュ 11.3%
デイビッド・ジョーンズ 10.9%
ロバート・チャールズ
62%
ベン・ミッジリー
15%
ジョナサン・ブッシュ
11%
デイビッド・ジョーンズ
11%
ロバート・ウェッセルズ
6%
オーエン・マッカーシー
3%
ケン・カプロン
1%
ジェームズ・リビー
1%
ロバート・チャールズ 65%
ベン・ミッジリー 15%
ジョナサン・ブッシュ 11.3%
デイビッド・ジョーンズ 10.9%
ロバート・チャールズ
62%
ベン・ミッジリー
15%
ジョナサン・ブッシュ
11%
デイビッド・ジョーンズ
11%
ロバート・ウェッセルズ
6%
オーエン・マッカーシー
3%
ケン・カプロン
1%
ジェームズ・リビー
1%
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary heavily favors Robert Charles at 62.5% implied probability, driven by his strong fundraising totals exceeding $500,000 and endorsements from key state GOP figures, positioning him as the establishment choice ahead of the June 2026 primary. Ben Midgley trails at 14.5% on grassroots momentum and local organizer support, while Jonathan Bush (11.9%) gains from self-funding and conservative activist backing; David Jones (9.0%) benefits from prior legislative experience. Recent developments include Charles' October campaign launch event drawing high-profile attendees and Midgley's viral social media push criticizing rivals, shifting minor volume toward underdogs amid thin early polling data. Upcoming candidate forums could further influence odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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