Trader consensus heavily favors no Liftoff Mobile IPO before April 2026 (98.5% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing, official announcements, or banker hires from the mobile adtech platform, which remains under private equity ownership via Blackstone's Vungle acquisition. Recent developments, including steady revenue growth in app user acquisition amid iOS privacy shifts like ATT, have not triggered public market moves, as PE firms prioritize stability over liquidity events in a high-interest-rate environment dampening tech IPOs. Challenges could arise from a surprise filing amid rebounding ad spend or competitive pressures from rivals like AppLovin, but historical delays in similar adtech flotations reinforce the bearish positioning on near-term listing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2026年4月より前にIPOしない 98.4%
42.5億~45.0億ドル 2.1%
45億~47.5億ドル 1.8%
55億ドル超 <1%
$95,032 Vol.
$95,032 Vol.
42.5億ドル未満
<1%
42.5億~45.0億ドル
2%
45億~47.5億ドル
2%
4.75B~5.00B
1%
50億〜52.5億
<1%
52億5000万~55億
1%
55億ドル超
1%
2026年4月より前にIPOしない
98%
2026年4月より前にIPOしない 98.4%
42.5億~45.0億ドル 2.1%
45億~47.5億ドル 1.8%
55億ドル超 <1%
$95,032 Vol.
$95,032 Vol.
42.5億ドル未満
<1%
42.5億~45.0億ドル
2%
45億~47.5億ドル
2%
4.75B~5.00B
1%
50億〜52.5億
<1%
52億5000万~55億
1%
55億ドル超
1%
2026年4月より前にIPOしない
98%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Feb 5, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Liftoff Mobile IPO before April 2026 (98.5% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing, official announcements, or banker hires from the mobile adtech platform, which remains under private equity ownership via Blackstone's Vungle acquisition. Recent developments, including steady revenue growth in app user acquisition amid iOS privacy shifts like ATT, have not triggered public market moves, as PE firms prioritize stability over liquidity events in a high-interest-rate environment dampening tech IPOs. Challenges could arise from a surprise filing amid rebounding ad spend or competitive pressures from rivals like AppLovin, but historical delays in similar adtech flotations reinforce the bearish positioning on near-term listing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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