Amid the escalating US-Israel-Iran conflict, Yemen's Houthis claimed responsibility for a ballistic missile strike on Israel on March 28—their first direct action in the war—while sparing Saudi targets despite threats. An Iranian drone and missile attack on the US-hosted Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia on March 27 wounded over a dozen American troops, heightening tensions but not involving Houthis. A tenuous Saudi-Houthi truce persists, bolstered by Riyadh's reported salary payments to Houthi civil servants, with Saudi defenses intercepting attempted drones on March 7 without territorial impact. Traders reflect low odds on Houthi military action—such as impacting drone, missile, or airstrikes—by March 31 due to de-escalation incentives and strategic restraint, though Houthi statements or Iranian pressure could prompt shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$12,870 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 15
24%
April 30
33%
$12,870 Vol.
April 15
$8,639 Vol.
24%
April 30
$4,231 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Amid the escalating US-Israel-Iran conflict, Yemen's Houthis claimed responsibility for a ballistic missile strike on Israel on March 28—their first direct action in the war—while sparing Saudi targets despite threats. An Iranian drone and missile attack on the US-hosted Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia on March 27 wounded over a dozen American troops, heightening tensions but not involving Houthis. A tenuous Saudi-Houthi truce persists, bolstered by Riyadh's reported salary payments to Houthi civil servants, with Saudi defenses intercepting attempted drones on March 7 without territorial impact. Traders reflect low odds on Houthi military action—such as impacting drone, missile, or airstrikes—by March 31 due to de-escalation incentives and strategic restraint, though Houthi statements or Iranian pressure could prompt shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
音量
$12,870終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Amid the escalating US-Israel-Iran conflict, Yemen's Houthis claimed responsibility for a ballistic missile strike on Israel on March 28—their first direct action in the war—while sparing Saudi targets despite threats. An Iranian drone and missile attack on the US-hosted Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia on March 27 wounded over a dozen American troops, heightening tensions but not involving Houthis. A tenuous Saudi-Houthi truce persists, bolstered by Riyadh's reported salary payments to Houthi civil servants, with Saudi defenses intercepting attempted drones on March 7 without territorial impact. Traders reflect low odds on Houthi military action—such as impacting drone, missile, or airstrikes—by March 31 due to de-escalation incentives and strategic restraint, though Houthi statements or Iranian pressure could prompt shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
音量
$12,870終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the escalating US-Israel-Iran conflict, Yemen's Houthis claimed responsibility for a ballistic missile strike on Israel on March 28—their first direct action in the war—while sparing Saudi targets despite threats. An Iranian drone and missile attack on the US-hosted Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia on March 27 wounded over a dozen American troops, heightening tensions but not involving Houthis. A tenuous Saudi-Houthi truce persists, bolstered by Riyadh's reported salary payments to Houthi civil servants, with Saudi defenses intercepting attempted drones on March 7 without territorial impact. Traders reflect low odds on Houthi military action—such as impacting drone, missile, or airstrikes—by March 31 due to de-escalation incentives and strategic restraint, though Houthi statements or Iranian pressure could prompt shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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