Trader consensus assigns a 90.6% implied probability to 32°C as Singapore's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting the Meteorological Service Singapore's climatological baseline of 32.4°C average daily maxima during April's inter-monsoon period, when light variable winds and frequent afternoon thundery showers limit solar heating and peak intensities. Recent 24-hour forecasts project up to 34°C amid expected showers over southern, western, and central regions, but historical patterns show realized highs rarely exceed 33°C under such conditions, with land-sea breezes enhancing cloud development. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies in northern stations like Sembawang, potentially pushing isolated readings to 33°C+, though current model consensus and morning observations around 33-34°C already signal moderation ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Singapore on April 1?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 1?
34°C 95.5%
35°C 2.9%
36°C or higher <1%
28°C <1%
$134,285 Vol.
$134,285 Vol.
28°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
96%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
34°C 95.5%
35°C 2.9%
36°C or higher <1%
28°C <1%
$134,285 Vol.
$134,285 Vol.
28°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
96%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus assigns a 90.6% implied probability to 32°C as Singapore's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting the Meteorological Service Singapore's climatological baseline of 32.4°C average daily maxima during April's inter-monsoon period, when light variable winds and frequent afternoon thundery showers limit solar heating and peak intensities. Recent 24-hour forecasts project up to 34°C amid expected showers over southern, western, and central regions, but historical patterns show realized highs rarely exceed 33°C under such conditions, with land-sea breezes enhancing cloud development. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies in northern stations like Sembawang, potentially pushing isolated readings to 33°C+, though current model consensus and morning observations around 33-34°C already signal moderation ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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