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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

27°C 34%

26°C 26%

28°C 24%

29°C 8%

Polymarket

$53,744 Vol.

27°C 34%

26°C 26%

28°C 24%

29°C 8%

Polymarket

$53,744 Vol.

21°C or below

$14,270 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$7,370 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$10,617 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$3,605 Vol.

1%

25°C

$2,071 Vol.

6%

26°C

$1,912 Vol.

26%

27°C

$2,527 Vol.

34%

28°C

$2,009 Vol.

24%

29°C

$2,522 Vol.

8%

30°C

$2,834 Vol.

2%

31°C or higher

$4,032 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, as aggregated by major forecasters, show an ensemble mean high temperature of around 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 26°C and 28°C. This positioning reflects partial cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with southeast winds at 10-15 km/h moderating sea-breeze effects and limiting peaks above 28°C, while humid conditions (near 70%) suppress convective heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon low-cloud dissipation—favoring 28°C if sunnier or 26°C with persistent overcast—and urban heat island amplification at the airport station. Uncertainty persists until final China Meteorological Administration observations resolve post-sunset March 29.

Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, as aggregated by major forecasters, show an ensemble mean high temperature of around 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 26°C and 28°C. This positioning reflects partial cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with southeast winds at 10-15 km/h moderating sea-breeze effects and limiting peaks above 28°C, while humid conditions (near 70%) suppress convective heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon low-cloud dissipation—favoring 28°C if sunnier or 26°C with persistent overcast—and urban heat island amplification at the airport station. Uncertainty persists until final China Meteorological Administration observations resolve post-sunset March 29.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, as aggregated by major forecasters, show an ensemble mean high temperature of around 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 26°C and 28°C. This positioning reflects partial cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with southeast winds at 10-15 km/h moderating sea-breeze effects and limiting peaks above 28°C, while humid conditions (near 70%) suppress convective heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon low-cloud dissipation—favoring 28°C if sunnier or 26°C with persistent overcast—and urban heat island amplification at the airport station. Uncertainty persists until final China Meteorological Administration observations resolve post-sunset March 29.

Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, as aggregated by major forecasters, show an ensemble mean high temperature of around 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 26°C and 28°C. This positioning reflects partial cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with southeast winds at 10-15 km/h moderating sea-breeze effects and limiting peaks above 28°C, while humid conditions (near 70%) suppress convective heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon low-cloud dissipation—favoring 28°C if sunnier or 26°C with persistent overcast—and urban heat island amplification at the airport station. Uncertainty persists until final China Meteorological Administration observations resolve post-sunset March 29.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「27°C」で34%、次いで「26°C」が26%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、34¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に34%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?」は$53.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 25, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?」の現在のフロントランナーは「27°C」で34%であり、市場がこの結果に34%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「26°C」で26%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。