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Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

$304,712 Vol.

Polymarket

$304,712 Vol.

22°C

$45,323 Vol.

100%

23°C or higher

$78,021 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on March 30 (99.9% implied probability), anchored by real-time observations from the official Xujiahui observatory, where afternoon readings peaked at this mark amid partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds enhancing solar heating. This outcome exceeds the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C, driven by a persistent warm air mass over eastern China from recent high-pressure ridging, consistent with prior days' verified highs around 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converged on 20–22°C prior to peak confirmation. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and a sharp insolation spike late afternoon before sunset, though northwest winds and reduced daylight now suppress further rises, aligning with skin-in-the-game trader positioning.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on March 30 (99.9% implied probability), anchored by real-time observations from the official Xujiahui observatory, where afternoon readings peaked at this mark amid partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds enhancing solar heating. This outcome exceeds the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C, driven by a persistent warm air mass over eastern China from recent high-pressure ridging, consistent with prior days' verified highs around 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converged on 20–22°C prior to peak confirmation. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and a sharp insolation spike late afternoon before sunset, though northwest winds and reduced daylight now suppress further rises, aligning with skin-in-the-game trader positioning.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on March 30 (99.9% implied probability), anchored by real-time observations from the official Xujiahui observatory, where afternoon readings peaked at this mark amid partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds enhancing solar heating. This outcome exceeds the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C, driven by a persistent warm air mass over eastern China from recent high-pressure ridging, consistent with prior days' verified highs around 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converged on 20–22°C prior to peak confirmation. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and a sharp insolation spike late afternoon before sunset, though northwest winds and reduced daylight now suppress further rises, aligning with skin-in-the-game trader positioning.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Shanghai on March 30 (99.9% implied probability), anchored by real-time observations from the official Xujiahui observatory, where afternoon readings peaked at this mark amid partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds enhancing solar heating. This outcome exceeds the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C, driven by a persistent warm air mass over eastern China from recent high-pressure ridging, consistent with prior days' verified highs around 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converged on 20–22°C prior to peak confirmation. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and a sharp insolation spike late afternoon before sunset, though northwest winds and reduced daylight now suppress further rises, aligning with skin-in-the-game trader positioning.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「22°C」で100%、次いで「23°C or higher」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?」は$304.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 29, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?」の現在のフロントランナーは「22°C」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「23°C or higher」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。