Trader consensus clusters around 64-67°F for New York City's Central Park high temperature today, driven by slight divergence in the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF model runs, with GFS hinting at 68°F+ potential through enhanced boundary-layer mixing, reduced afternoon clouds, and optimal solar insolation under light southerly winds and high pressure aloft. ECMWF leans toward 64-67°F amid lingering partial cloudiness that may limit peak heating, following morning lows near 40°F—well below the late-March climatological average of 55°F—and a warming trend after cooler weekend highs in the 40s-50s. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists as cloud evolution will dictate the 2-5 PM EDT maximum; monitor National Weather Service hourly observations for resolution-defining shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on March 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 30?
64-65°F 32%
66-67°F 28%
68°F or higher 19%
62-63°F 18%
$16,318 Vol.
$16,318 Vol.
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
28%
68°F or higher
19%
64-65°F 32%
66-67°F 28%
68°F or higher 19%
62-63°F 18%
$16,318 Vol.
$16,318 Vol.
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
28%
68°F or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 64-67°F for New York City's Central Park high temperature today, driven by slight divergence in the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF model runs, with GFS hinting at 68°F+ potential through enhanced boundary-layer mixing, reduced afternoon clouds, and optimal solar insolation under light southerly winds and high pressure aloft. ECMWF leans toward 64-67°F amid lingering partial cloudiness that may limit peak heating, following morning lows near 40°F—well below the late-March climatological average of 55°F—and a warming trend after cooler weekend highs in the 40s-50s. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists as cloud evolution will dictate the 2-5 PM EDT maximum; monitor National Weather Service hourly observations for resolution-defining shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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