Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and international models show Seoul's April 2 high clustering around 14–16°C amid clearing skies following today's nationwide spring rain, which dropped morning temperatures to 11°C and introduced cooler air masses. Trader sentiment reflects this tight range, with 14°C leading at 30.5% implied probability due to potential residual cloud cover limiting solar heating, while 15°C and 13°C vie closely based on wind shear and boundary layer recovery speed. Ensemble model spread highlights uncertainty in post-frontal warming, with northerly flows possibly capping peaks below 15°C or hazy sunshine pushing toward 16°C or higher. KMA short-term updates expected today could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
14°C 30%
15°C 24%
13°C 19%
12°C 16%
$74,694 Vol.
$74,694 Vol.
2026/04/02
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
7%
12°C
16%
13°C
19%
14°C
30%
15°C
24%
16°C or higher
11%
14°C 30%
15°C 24%
13°C 19%
12°C 16%
$74,694 Vol.
$74,694 Vol.
2026/04/02
6°C or below
$25,838 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$4,070 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$4,195 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$6,208 Vol.
1%
10°C
$5,986 Vol.
1%
11°C
$5,359 Vol.
7%
12°C
$3,384 Vol.
16%
13°C
$3,986 Vol.
19%
14°C
$3,292 Vol.
30%
15°C
$4,088 Vol.
24%
16°C or higher
$8,408 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and international models show Seoul's April 2 high clustering around 14–16°C amid clearing skies following today's nationwide spring rain, which dropped morning temperatures to 11°C and introduced cooler air masses. Trader sentiment reflects this tight range, with 14°C leading at 30.5% implied probability due to potential residual cloud cover limiting solar heating, while 15°C and 13°C vie closely based on wind shear and boundary layer recovery speed. Ensemble model spread highlights uncertainty in post-frontal warming, with northerly flows possibly capping peaks below 15°C or hazy sunshine pushing toward 16°C or higher. KMA short-term updates expected today could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
音量
$74,694終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and international models show Seoul's April 2 high clustering around 14–16°C amid clearing skies following today's nationwide spring rain, which dropped morning temperatures to 11°C and introduced cooler air masses. Trader sentiment reflects this tight range, with 14°C leading at 30.5% implied probability due to potential residual cloud cover limiting solar heating, while 15°C and 13°C vie closely based on wind shear and boundary layer recovery speed. Ensemble model spread highlights uncertainty in post-frontal warming, with northerly flows possibly capping peaks below 15°C or hazy sunshine pushing toward 16°C or higher. KMA short-term updates expected today could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$74,694終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETKorea Meteorological Administration forecasts and international models show Seoul's April 2 high clustering around 14–16°C amid clearing skies following today's nationwide spring rain, which dropped morning temperatures to 11°C and introduced cooler air masses. Trader sentiment reflects this tight range, with 14°C leading at 30.5% implied probability due to potential residual cloud cover limiting solar heating, while 15°C and 13°C vie closely based on wind shear and boundary layer recovery speed. Ensemble model spread highlights uncertainty in post-frontal warming, with northerly flows possibly capping peaks below 15°C or hazy sunshine pushing toward 16°C or higher. KMA short-term updates expected today could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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