Trader sentiment for Seattle's highest temperature on March 27 clusters tightly around 52-59°F, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs near 55-57°F amid a persistent marine layer and weak high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest. These models show low confidence in extremes, with 70% of members clustering in the mid-50s due to cool onshore flow suppressing instability, while slight ensemble spreads account for the even odds on adjacent bins—warmer outliers from transient ridging push 58-59°F viability, cooler ones from enhanced cloud cover favor 52-53°F. Historical late-March normals (54-56°F) and transitioning El Niño patterns reinforce this balanced outlook, with NWS Seattle's afternoon update as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月27日のシアトルの最高気温は?
3月27日のシアトルの最高気温は?
54~55°F 25%
56~57°F 25%
58~59°F 25%
64°F以上 18%
45°F以下
18%
46~47°F
7%
48〜49°F
15%
50〜51°F
17%
52~53°F
18%
54~55°F
25%
56~57°F
25%
58~59°F
25%
60~61°F
15%
62〜63°F
12%
64°F以上
18%
54~55°F 25%
56~57°F 25%
58~59°F 25%
64°F以上 18%
45°F以下
18%
46~47°F
7%
48〜49°F
15%
50〜51°F
17%
52~53°F
18%
54~55°F
25%
56~57°F
25%
58~59°F
25%
60~61°F
15%
62〜63°F
12%
64°F以上
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seattle's highest temperature on March 27 clusters tightly around 52-59°F, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs near 55-57°F amid a persistent marine layer and weak high-pressure ridge over the Pacific Northwest. These models show low confidence in extremes, with 70% of members clustering in the mid-50s due to cool onshore flow suppressing instability, while slight ensemble spreads account for the even odds on adjacent bins—warmer outliers from transient ridging push 58-59°F viability, cooler ones from enhanced cloud cover favor 52-53°F. Historical late-March normals (54-56°F) and transitioning El Niño patterns reinforce this balanced outlook, with NWS Seattle's afternoon update as the key near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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