Météo-France observations at the Paris-Montsouris station, the official reference site, recorded a mid-afternoon high of 11°C under persistent overcast skies and light showers, aligning with trader consensus at 99.9% market-implied probability. ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts had tightly clustered maxima around 11-12°C, driven by thick low-level cloud layers and moist northerly flow suppressing solar heating despite typical March climatological highs near 12°C. This positioning reflects strong model agreement and real-time data confirming limited daytime warming. Realistic challenges would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and prolonged sunshine to push toward 12°C or higher, though diminishing daylight and stable cloudy conditions make this improbable as the day nears resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?
11°C 100.0%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$120,634 Vol.
$120,634 Vol.
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 100.0%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$120,634 Vol.
$120,634 Vol.
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo-France observations at the Paris-Montsouris station, the official reference site, recorded a mid-afternoon high of 11°C under persistent overcast skies and light showers, aligning with trader consensus at 99.9% market-implied probability. ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts had tightly clustered maxima around 11-12°C, driven by thick low-level cloud layers and moist northerly flow suppressing solar heating despite typical March climatological highs near 12°C. This positioning reflects strong model agreement and real-time data confirming limited daytime warming. Realistic challenges would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and prolonged sunshine to push toward 12°C or higher, though diminishing daylight and stable cloudy conditions make this improbable as the day nears resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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