National Weather Service observations at New York City's official Central Park station have already recorded a high of 80°F on March 31, 2026, well exceeding the 74°F threshold and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This extreme warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering southerly warm air advection under clear skies, following a month of above-normal temperatures including record 80°F on March 10. Compared to the March climatological normal high of around 52°F, today's reading shatters expectations, with minimal cloud cover and light winds aiding solar heating. Final certification in the NWS daily climatological report, typically issued early April 1, could theoretically revise data due to rare sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly unlikely given multiple confirming observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月31日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?
3月31日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?
華氏74度以上 100.0%
55°F以下 <1%
56〜57°F <1%
58〜59°F <1%
$426,000 Vol.
$426,000 Vol.
55°F以下
いいえ
56〜57°F
いいえ
58〜59°F
いいえ
60〜61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
いいえ
64~65°F
いいえ
66~67°F
いいえ
68~69°F
いいえ
70~71°F
いいえ
72~73°F
いいえ
華氏74度以上
はい
華氏74度以上 100.0%
55°F以下 <1%
56〜57°F <1%
58〜59°F <1%
$426,000 Vol.
$426,000 Vol.
55°F以下
いいえ
56〜57°F
いいえ
58〜59°F
いいえ
60〜61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
いいえ
64~65°F
いいえ
66~67°F
いいえ
68~69°F
いいえ
70~71°F
いいえ
72~73°F
いいえ
華氏74度以上
はい
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
National Weather Service observations at New York City's official Central Park station have already recorded a high of 80°F on March 31, 2026, well exceeding the 74°F threshold and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This extreme warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering southerly warm air advection under clear skies, following a month of above-normal temperatures including record 80°F on March 10. Compared to the March climatological normal high of around 52°F, today's reading shatters expectations, with minimal cloud cover and light winds aiding solar heating. Final certification in the NWS daily climatological report, typically issued early April 1, could theoretically revise data due to rare sensor anomalies, but such changes are exceedingly unlikely given multiple confirming observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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