The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Central Park observatory projects a high near 76°F today under partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon showers, anchoring trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for 76-77°F as the leading outcome. This warmth stems from a ridge of high pressure over the Northeast directing southerly winds and warm air advection from the Atlantic, following a cooler late-March pattern disrupted by an eastward-shifting heat dome pattern noted in recent NOAA outlooks. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on mid-70s peaks, well above the 55°F April 1 climatological normal, though cloud cover or showers could cap boundary layer heating near 74-75°F (23%). Current morning readings near 72°F suggest upside potential to 78-79°F (19.5%) if skies clear, with resolution hinging on official KNYS observations by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on April 1?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 1?
76-77°F 49%
74-75°F 21%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 10.1%
$98,424 Vol.
$98,424 Vol.
2026/04/01
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 49%
74-75°F 21%
78-79°F 20%
72-73°F 10.1%
$98,424 Vol.
$98,424 Vol.
2026/04/01
69°F or below
$21,736 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$11,738 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$9,347 Vol.
10%
74-75°F
$8,997 Vol.
21%
76-77°F
$5,907 Vol.
49%
78-79°F
$6,979 Vol.
20%
80-81°F
$7,288 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$7,098 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$4,988 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$5,138 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$9,607 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Central Park observatory projects a high near 76°F today under partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon showers, anchoring trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for 76-77°F as the leading outcome. This warmth stems from a ridge of high pressure over the Northeast directing southerly winds and warm air advection from the Atlantic, following a cooler late-March pattern disrupted by an eastward-shifting heat dome pattern noted in recent NOAA outlooks. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on mid-70s peaks, well above the 55°F April 1 climatological normal, though cloud cover or showers could cap boundary layer heating near 74-75°F (23%). Current morning readings near 72°F suggest upside potential to 78-79°F (19.5%) if skies clear, with resolution hinging on official KNYS observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
音量
$98,424終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Central Park observatory projects a high near 76°F today under partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon showers, anchoring trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for 76-77°F as the leading outcome. This warmth stems from a ridge of high pressure over the Northeast directing southerly winds and warm air advection from the Atlantic, following a cooler late-March pattern disrupted by an eastward-shifting heat dome pattern noted in recent NOAA outlooks. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on mid-70s peaks, well above the 55°F April 1 climatological normal, though cloud cover or showers could cap boundary layer heating near 74-75°F (23%). Current morning readings near 72°F suggest upside potential to 78-79°F (19.5%) if skies clear, with resolution hinging on official KNYS observations by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$98,424終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETThe National Weather Service's latest forecast for Central Park observatory projects a high near 76°F today under partly sunny skies with a chance of afternoon showers, anchoring trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for 76-77°F as the leading outcome. This warmth stems from a ridge of high pressure over the Northeast directing southerly winds and warm air advection from the Atlantic, following a cooler late-March pattern disrupted by an eastward-shifting heat dome pattern noted in recent NOAA outlooks. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on mid-70s peaks, well above the 55°F April 1 climatological normal, though cloud cover or showers could cap boundary layer heating near 74-75°F (23%). Current morning readings near 72°F suggest upside potential to 78-79°F (19.5%) if skies clear, with resolution hinging on official KNYS observations by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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