The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest forecast for Lucknow projects a maximum temperature of around 35°C on March 26 under predominantly clear skies and dry northerly winds, driving trader consensus with 39.5% implied probability on that outcome and 28.5% on 36°C. This reflects observational trends from the past 48 hours—March 24 peaked at 34.2°C and March 25 at 35.1°C—amid high-pressure subsidence inhibiting cloud formation and promoting continental heating typical of late March's pre-monsoon transition. Climatological norms for Lucknow average 33–35°C this period, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C potential upside. Model ensembles show low spread, but evening IMD updates could refine diurnal peaks, while low odds on extremes (>38°C <2%) underscore negligible heatwave risks absent western disturbances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
35°C 44%
36°C 33%
37°C 9.3%
34°C or below 6%
$74,224 Vol.
$74,224 Vol.
34°C or below
6%
35°C
44%
36°C
33%
37°C
9%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
35°C 44%
36°C 33%
37°C 9.3%
34°C or below 6%
$74,224 Vol.
$74,224 Vol.
34°C or below
6%
35°C
44%
36°C
33%
37°C
9%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest forecast for Lucknow projects a maximum temperature of around 35°C on March 26 under predominantly clear skies and dry northerly winds, driving trader consensus with 39.5% implied probability on that outcome and 28.5% on 36°C. This reflects observational trends from the past 48 hours—March 24 peaked at 34.2°C and March 25 at 35.1°C—amid high-pressure subsidence inhibiting cloud formation and promoting continental heating typical of late March's pre-monsoon transition. Climatological norms for Lucknow average 33–35°C this period, with urban heat island effects adding 1–2°C potential upside. Model ensembles show low spread, but evening IMD updates could refine diurnal peaks, while low odds on extremes (>38°C <2%) underscore negligible heatwave risks absent western disturbances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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