Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Denver's highest temperature on April 7 around 68-72°F under partly cloudy skies with isolated shower chances near 20-30%, explaining the closely matched trader consensus favoring 66-73°F outcomes at over 85% implied probability. Following March 2026's record warmth—Denver's 15th hottest on record analog—and historic low snowpack, early April highs near 70°F reflect persistent ridging, but a pattern shift since late March introduces Pacific moisture, capping peak heating via clouds and light westerly winds (10-15 mph). Differentiating factors include shower timing before peak afternoon insolation, boundary layer mixing at high elevation (5,280 ft), and model spread on cloud cover; clearer conditions favor 70-73°F, while overcast bouts pull toward mid-60s. New 00Z runs and NWS updates expected within 24 hours will refine resolution odds based on Buckley Space Force Base observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on April 7?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 7?
68-69°F 29%
66-67°F 21%
74-75°F 21%
72-73°F 20%
63°F or below
9%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 29%
66-67°F 21%
74-75°F 21%
72-73°F 20%
63°F or below
9%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Denver's highest temperature on April 7 around 68-72°F under partly cloudy skies with isolated shower chances near 20-30%, explaining the closely matched trader consensus favoring 66-73°F outcomes at over 85% implied probability. Following March 2026's record warmth—Denver's 15th hottest on record analog—and historic low snowpack, early April highs near 70°F reflect persistent ridging, but a pattern shift since late March introduces Pacific moisture, capping peak heating via clouds and light westerly winds (10-15 mph). Differentiating factors include shower timing before peak afternoon insolation, boundary layer mixing at high elevation (5,280 ft), and model spread on cloud cover; clearer conditions favor 70-73°F, while overcast bouts pull toward mid-60s. New 00Z runs and NWS updates expected within 24 hours will refine resolution odds based on Buckley Space Force Base observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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