Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 70% implied probability to a 23°C high in Chengdu today, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converging tightly on 23-24°C peaks amid partly cloudy skies and light ESE winds. AccuWeather and Weather.com guidance aligns, projecting 74-76°F (23-24°C) maxima with low precipitation risk (5%), supported by mild spring warming in the Sichuan Basin following March's fluctuations—18°C on March 29 after warmer days. Historical early-April averages near 20°C provide baseline context, but current atmospheric stability favors the upper end of trader expectations. Official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will resolve the market; hourly observations and CMA updates through afternoon could refine outcomes amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
23°C 83%
24°C 18%
27°C or higher 1.1%
25°C <1%
$67,785 Vol.
$67,785 Vol.
2026/04/01
18°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
83%
24°C
18%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 83%
24°C 18%
27°C or higher 1.1%
25°C <1%
$67,785 Vol.
$67,785 Vol.
2026/04/01
18°C
$6,494 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$7,505 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8,052 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,696 Vol.
83%
24°C
$4,160 Vol.
18%
25°C
$7,055 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5,613 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$5,348 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 70% implied probability to a 23°C high in Chengdu today, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converging tightly on 23-24°C peaks amid partly cloudy skies and light ESE winds. AccuWeather and Weather.com guidance aligns, projecting 74-76°F (23-24°C) maxima with low precipitation risk (5%), supported by mild spring warming in the Sichuan Basin following March's fluctuations—18°C on March 29 after warmer days. Historical early-April averages near 20°C provide baseline context, but current atmospheric stability favors the upper end of trader expectations. Official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will resolve the market; hourly observations and CMA updates through afternoon could refine outcomes amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
音量
$67,785終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 70% implied probability to a 23°C high in Chengdu today, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converging tightly on 23-24°C peaks amid partly cloudy skies and light ESE winds. AccuWeather and Weather.com guidance aligns, projecting 74-76°F (23-24°C) maxima with low precipitation risk (5%), supported by mild spring warming in the Sichuan Basin following March's fluctuations—18°C on March 29 after warmer days. Historical early-April averages near 20°C provide baseline context, but current atmospheric stability favors the upper end of trader expectations. Official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will resolve the market; hourly observations and CMA updates through afternoon could refine outcomes amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$67,785終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns 70% implied probability to a 23°C high in Chengdu today, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models converging tightly on 23-24°C peaks amid partly cloudy skies and light ESE winds. AccuWeather and Weather.com guidance aligns, projecting 74-76°F (23-24°C) maxima with low precipitation risk (5%), supported by mild spring warming in the Sichuan Basin following March's fluctuations—18°C on March 29 after warmer days. Historical early-April averages near 20°C provide baseline context, but current atmospheric stability favors the upper end of trader expectations. Official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will resolve the market; hourly observations and CMA updates through afternoon could refine outcomes amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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