Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching exactly 16°C today, closely trailed by 15°C at 27% and 17°C or higher at 22.5%, reflecting the latest forecast models from services like AccuWeather and BBC Weather projecting daytime highs of 16-18°C amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low precipitation risk. These odds stem from Ankara's continental climate in early April, where average highs hover around 15°C amid seasonal solar insolation and high-pressure influence, with recent observational data showing morning temperatures near 10°C rising steadily. No major disruptions from March's variable patterns have altered guidance, though inherent forecast uncertainty—such as evolving cloud cover or shear—could shift outcomes; Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly updates and end-of-day maximum readings will clarify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?
16°C 47%
17°C or higher 26%
15°C 23%
14°C 1.4%
$166,397 Vol.
$166,397 Vol.
2026/04/01
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
23%
16°C
47%
17°C or higher
26%
16°C 47%
17°C or higher 26%
15°C 23%
14°C 1.4%
$166,397 Vol.
$166,397 Vol.
2026/04/01
8°C
$16,439 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$28,321 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$16,621 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$14,760 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$8,514 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$18,797 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$14,158 Vol.
1%
15°C
$7,782 Vol.
23%
16°C
$8,701 Vol.
47%
17°C or higher
$11,851 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching exactly 16°C today, closely trailed by 15°C at 27% and 17°C or higher at 22.5%, reflecting the latest forecast models from services like AccuWeather and BBC Weather projecting daytime highs of 16-18°C amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low precipitation risk. These odds stem from Ankara's continental climate in early April, where average highs hover around 15°C amid seasonal solar insolation and high-pressure influence, with recent observational data showing morning temperatures near 10°C rising steadily. No major disruptions from March's variable patterns have altered guidance, though inherent forecast uncertainty—such as evolving cloud cover or shear—could shift outcomes; Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly updates and end-of-day maximum readings will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 28, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
音量
$166,397終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 28, 2026, 6:14 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching exactly 16°C today, closely trailed by 15°C at 27% and 17°C or higher at 22.5%, reflecting the latest forecast models from services like AccuWeather and BBC Weather projecting daytime highs of 16-18°C amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low precipitation risk. These odds stem from Ankara's continental climate in early April, where average highs hover around 15°C amid seasonal solar insolation and high-pressure influence, with recent observational data showing morning temperatures near 10°C rising steadily. No major disruptions from March's variable patterns have altered guidance, though inherent forecast uncertainty—such as evolving cloud cover or shear—could shift outcomes; Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly updates and end-of-day maximum readings will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$166,397終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 28, 2026, 6:14 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching exactly 16°C today, closely trailed by 15°C at 27% and 17°C or higher at 22.5%, reflecting the latest forecast models from services like AccuWeather and BBC Weather projecting daytime highs of 16-18°C amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and low precipitation risk. These odds stem from Ankara's continental climate in early April, where average highs hover around 15°C amid seasonal solar insolation and high-pressure influence, with recent observational data showing morning temperatures near 10°C rising steadily. No major disruptions from March's variable patterns have altered guidance, though inherent forecast uncertainty—such as evolving cloud cover or shear—could shift outcomes; Turkish State Meteorological Service hourly updates and end-of-day maximum readings will clarify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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