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財務·コモディティ

3月末の___より上のゴールド（ GC ） ？

Market icon
財務·コモディティ

3月末の___より上のゴールド（ GC ） ？

Mar 31

Jun 30

Mar 31

Jun 30

$166,458 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$166,458 Vol.

Polymarket

7,000ドル

$16,351 Vol.

<1%

6,500ドル

$5,822 Vol.

<1%

6,000ドル

$18,100 Vol.

<1%

5,800ドル

$30,930 Vol.

<1%

5,600ドル

$4,868 Vol.

<1%

5,400ドル

$44,779 Vol.

<1%

5,200ドル

$4,413 Vol.

1%

5,000ドル

$10,891 Vol.

2%

4,800ドル

$13,044 Vol.

3%

4,600ドル

$6,557 Vol.

19%

$4,400

$2,158 Vol.

58%

4,000ドル

$8,545 Vol.

96%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.COMEX Gold (GC) futures settled at $4,492 per ounce on March 27—the final trading day of the contract month—reflecting trader consensus after a sharp 15% pullback from early-March peaks above $5,400. The downturn was driven by the Federal Reserve's hawkish March policy hold, pricing in zero rate cuts for 2026 amid persistent inflation pressures, which propelled 10-year Treasury yields to 4.42% and the US Dollar Index (DXY) near 100.3, eroding gold's non-yielding appeal despite fleeting safe-haven bids from Hormuz Strait tensions. With spot prices rebounding modestly to around $4,500, upcoming April PCE inflation data and FOMC projections loom as key catalysts for Q2 positioning.

COMEX Gold (GC) futures settled at $4,492 per ounce on March 27—the final trading day of the contract month—reflecting trader consensus after a sharp 15% pullback from early-March peaks above $5,400. The downturn was driven by the Federal Reserve's hawkish March policy hold, pricing in zero rate cuts for 2026 amid persistent inflation pressures, which propelled 10-year Treasury yields to 4.42% and the US Dollar Index (DXY) near 100.3, eroding gold's non-yielding appeal despite fleeting safe-haven bids from Hormuz Strait tensions. With spot prices rebounding modestly to around $4,500, upcoming April PCE inflation data and FOMC projections loom as key catalysts for Q2 positioning.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.COMEX Gold (GC) futures settled at $4,492 per ounce on March 27—the final trading day of the contract month—reflecting trader consensus after a sharp 15% pullback from early-March peaks above $5,400. The downturn was driven by the Federal Reserve's hawkish March policy hold, pricing in zero rate cuts for 2026 amid persistent inflation pressures, which propelled 10-year Treasury yields to 4.42% and the US Dollar Index (DXY) near 100.3, eroding gold's non-yielding appeal despite fleeting safe-haven bids from Hormuz Strait tensions. With spot prices rebounding modestly to around $4,500, upcoming April PCE inflation data and FOMC projections loom as key catalysts for Q2 positioning.

COMEX Gold (GC) futures settled at $4,492 per ounce on March 27—the final trading day of the contract month—reflecting trader consensus after a sharp 15% pullback from early-March peaks above $5,400. The downturn was driven by the Federal Reserve's hawkish March policy hold, pricing in zero rate cuts for 2026 amid persistent inflation pressures, which propelled 10-year Treasury yields to 4.42% and the US Dollar Index (DXY) near 100.3, eroding gold's non-yielding appeal despite fleeting safe-haven bids from Hormuz Strait tensions. With spot prices rebounding modestly to around $4,500, upcoming April PCE inflation data and FOMC projections loom as key catalysts for Q2 positioning.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「3月末の___より上のゴールド（ GC ） ？」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「4,000ドル」で96%、次いで「$4,400」が58%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、96¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に96%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月末の___より上のゴールド（ GC ） ？」は$166.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月末の___より上のゴールド（ GC ） ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月末の___より上のゴールド（ GC ） ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「4,000ドル」で96%であり、市場がこの結果に96%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「$4,400」で58%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月末の___より上のゴールド（ GC ） ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。