Trader sentiment on gold futures (GC) ending June above key thresholds reflects a tug-of-war between safe-haven demand and shifting Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, with spot gold trading around $2,320 per ounce after pulling back from May's record highs above $2,450. Persistent Middle East tensions and robust central bank purchases—led by China at over 600 tonnes year-to-date—bolster bullish positioning, while a resilient U.S. dollar (DXY near 105) and hawkish Fed dot plot signaling just one 2024 cut cap upside. Upcoming June 28 PCE inflation data and nonfarm payrolls revisions loom as pivotal catalysts, potentially reigniting volatility if softer-than-expected figures revive September cut odds near 60%. Prediction markets aggregate this capital-backed consensus, pricing in balanced risks around year-end targets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
Jun 30, 2026
8,000ドル
2%
7,000ドル
12%
$6,500
5%
6,200ドル
7%
6,000ドル
17%
$5,800
19%
$5,600
14%
$5,400
19%
5,200ドル
36%
5,000ドル
38%
4,800ドル
48%
$4,600
56%
$6,072 Vol.
8,000ドル
$0 Vol.
2%
7,000ドル
$0 Vol.
12%
$6,500
$0 Vol.
5%
6,200ドル
$0 Vol.
7%
6,000ドル
$0 Vol.
17%
$5,800
$0 Vol.
19%
$5,600
$0 Vol.
14%
$5,400
$0 Vol.
19%
5,200ドル
$1,184 Vol.
36%
5,000ドル
$0 Vol.
38%
4,800ドル
$4,888 Vol.
48%
$4,600
$0 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader sentiment on gold futures (GC) ending June above key thresholds reflects a tug-of-war between safe-haven demand and shifting Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, with spot gold trading around $2,320 per ounce after pulling back from May's record highs above $2,450. Persistent Middle East tensions and robust central bank purchases—led by China at over 600 tonnes year-to-date—bolster bullish positioning, while a resilient U.S. dollar (DXY near 105) and hawkish Fed dot plot signaling just one 2024 cut cap upside. Upcoming June 28 PCE inflation data and nonfarm payrolls revisions loom as pivotal catalysts, potentially reigniting volatility if softer-than-expected figures revive September cut odds near 60%. Prediction markets aggregate this capital-backed consensus, pricing in balanced risks around year-end targets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日： Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
音量
$6,072終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader sentiment on gold futures (GC) ending June above key thresholds reflects a tug-of-war between safe-haven demand and shifting Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, with spot gold trading around $2,320 per ounce after pulling back from May's record highs above $2,450. Persistent Middle East tensions and robust central bank purchases—led by China at over 600 tonnes year-to-date—bolster bullish positioning, while a resilient U.S. dollar (DXY near 105) and hawkish Fed dot plot signaling just one 2024 cut cap upside. Upcoming June 28 PCE inflation data and nonfarm payrolls revisions loom as pivotal catalysts, potentially reigniting volatility if softer-than-expected figures revive September cut odds near 60%. Prediction markets aggregate this capital-backed consensus, pricing in balanced risks around year-end targets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
音量
$6,072終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on gold futures (GC) ending June above key thresholds reflects a tug-of-war between safe-haven demand and shifting Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, with spot gold trading around $2,320 per ounce after pulling back from May's record highs above $2,450. Persistent Middle East tensions and robust central bank purchases—led by China at over 600 tonnes year-to-date—bolster bullish positioning, while a resilient U.S. dollar (DXY near 105) and hawkish Fed dot plot signaling just one 2024 cut cap upside. Upcoming June 28 PCE inflation data and nonfarm payrolls revisions loom as pivotal catalysts, potentially reigniting volatility if softer-than-expected figures revive September cut odds near 60%. Prediction markets aggregate this capital-backed consensus, pricing in balanced risks around year-end targets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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