Polymarket traders are heavily backing Gold (GC) futures surpassing $2,400/oz by June 30, with market-implied odds reflecting about 60% probability for higher price bins amid dovish Fed expectations after May CPI rose just 0.0% monthly. GC currently trades around $2,335/oz, up 1.5% weekly on a softer USD below 105 and ongoing central bank buying exceeding 1,000 tonnes YTD. Primary drivers include the June 11-12 FOMC, where dot plot shifts could confirm 50bps cuts by September, plus June 12 CPI/PPI data. Hawkish surprises or equity rallies risk pullbacks, but geopolitical risks sustain safe-haven bids.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ゴールド( GC )は6月末までに何に当たりますか?
ゴールド( GC )は6月末までに何に当たりますか?
$2,105,903 Vol.
↑ 10,000ドル
3%
↑ 8,500ドル
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ 8,000ドル
3%
↑ $7,000
5%
↑ $6,500
9%
↑ $6,200
10%
↑ 6,000ドル
12%
↑ $5,700
21%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ 4,200ドル
61%
↓ 3,800ドル
17%
↓ $3,400
8%
$2,105,903 Vol.
↑ 10,000ドル
3%
↑ 8,500ドル
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ 8,000ドル
3%
↑ $7,000
5%
↑ $6,500
9%
↑ $6,200
10%
↑ 6,000ドル
12%
↑ $5,700
21%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ 4,200ドル
61%
↓ 3,800ドル
17%
↓ $3,400
8%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are heavily backing Gold (GC) futures surpassing $2,400/oz by June 30, with market-implied odds reflecting about 60% probability for higher price bins amid dovish Fed expectations after May CPI rose just 0.0% monthly. GC currently trades around $2,335/oz, up 1.5% weekly on a softer USD below 105 and ongoing central bank buying exceeding 1,000 tonnes YTD. Primary drivers include the June 11-12 FOMC, where dot plot shifts could confirm 50bps cuts by September, plus June 12 CPI/PPI data. Hawkish surprises or equity rallies risk pullbacks, but geopolitical risks sustain safe-haven bids.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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