Market icon
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？

Market icon
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

260〜279 13%

240〜259 12%

280〜299 12%

300〜319 11%

Polymarket
NEW

$2,248,401 Vol.

260〜279 13%

240〜259 12%

280〜299 12%

300〜319 11%

Polymarket
NEW

$2,248,401 Vol.

20未満

$79,042 Vol.

<1%

20～39

$1,773,974 Vol.

<1%

40〜59

$39,475 Vol.

<1%

60～79

$32,940 Vol.

<1%

80〜99

$40,749 Vol.

<1%

100～119

$17,966 Vol.

<1%

120〜139

$13,242 Vol.

<1%

140〜159

$12,089 Vol.

<1%

160〜179

$10,556 Vol.

1%

180～199

$10,033 Vol.

2%

200～219

$7,050 Vol.

7%

220〜239

$9,512 Vol.

8%

240〜259

$11,113 Vol.

12%

260〜279

$12,643 Vol.

13%

280〜299

$9,997 Vol.

12%

300〜319

$10,768 Vol.

11%

320〜339

$8,578 Vol.

11%

340〜359

$8,892 Vol.

9%

360～379

$9,060 Vol.

6%

380〜399

$9,343 Vol.

4%

400〜419

$7,367 Vol.

3%

420〜439

$8,578 Vol.

2%

440～459

$8,052 Vol.

2%

460～479

$7,177 Vol.

1%

480〜499

$8,012 Vol.

1%

500〜519

$9,813 Vol.

1%

520～539

$13,948 Vol.

<1%

540～559

$17,015 Vol.

<1%

560～579

$17,596 Vol.

<1%

580以上

$23,823 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest among 240-319 X post buckets for Elon Musk from March 31 to April 7, implying a steady 34-46 daily average drawn from recent trackers showing spikes like 83 posts on March 22 and 71 on March 27 alongside quieter days at 36 on March 24. This clustering stems from moderated post-2024 election rhythms—down from viral surges but sustained by Tesla FSD safety demos, Starship factory buzz, and political quote-tweets—without fresh catalysts in the last 48 hours to jolt volume. Key swing factors include potential X Money rollout teases or DOGE policy announcements, which could ignite reply storms and push toward 300+, versus business travel muting output below 240; markets capture this high uncertainty in celebrity social media habits where real-time engagement drives rapid shifts.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest among 240-319 X post buckets for Elon Musk from March 31 to April 7, implying a steady 34-46 daily average drawn from recent trackers showing spikes like 83 posts on March 22 and 71 on March 27 alongside quieter days at 36 on March 24. This clustering stems from moderated post-2024 election rhythms—down from viral surges but sustained by Tesla FSD safety demos, Starship factory buzz, and political quote-tweets—without fresh catalysts in the last 48 hours to jolt volume. Key swing factors include potential X Money rollout teases or DOGE policy announcements, which could ignite reply storms and push toward 300+, versus business travel muting output below 240; markets capture this high uncertainty in celebrity social media habits where real-time engagement drives rapid shifts.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest among 240-319 X post buckets for Elon Musk from March 31 to April 7, implying a steady 34-46 daily average drawn from recent trackers showing spikes like 83 posts on March 22 and 71 on March 27 alongside quieter days at 36 on March 24. This clustering stems from moderated post-2024 election rhythms—down from viral surges but sustained by Tesla FSD safety demos, Starship factory buzz, and political quote-tweets—without fresh catalysts in the last 48 hours to jolt volume. Key swing factors include potential X Money rollout teases or DOGE policy announcements, which could ignite reply storms and push toward 300+, versus business travel muting output below 240; markets capture this high uncertainty in celebrity social media habits where real-time engagement drives rapid shifts.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest among 240-319 X post buckets for Elon Musk from March 31 to April 7, implying a steady 34-46 daily average drawn from recent trackers showing spikes like 83 posts on March 22 and 71 on March 27 alongside quieter days at 36 on March 24. This clustering stems from moderated post-2024 election rhythms—down from viral surges but sustained by Tesla FSD safety demos, Starship factory buzz, and political quote-tweets—without fresh catalysts in the last 48 hours to jolt volume. Key swing factors include potential X Money rollout teases or DOGE policy announcements, which could ignite reply storms and push toward 300+, versus business travel muting output below 240; markets capture this high uncertainty in celebrity social media habits where real-time engagement drives rapid shifts.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？」はPolymarket上の30個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「260〜279」で13%、次いで「240〜259」が12%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、13¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に13%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？」は$2.2 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 28, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている30個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？」の現在のフロントランナーは「260〜279」で13%であり、市場がこの結果に13%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「240〜259」で12%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月31日～ 4月7日？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。