Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest 35% probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) reaching $90 by June 30, anchored by current front-month futures at $78.20/bbl amid building US inventories, with the latest EIA report showing a 3.4 million barrel surplus versus expectations. Primary downward pressure stems from OPEC+'s signaled production hike post-June cuts, tepid Chinese demand signals from PMI data, and ample non-OPEC supply growth. Upside catalysts include the June 2 OPEC+ meeting or renewed Middle East geopolitical risks. Traders eye weekly EIA releases and Fed rate signals, as sustained $80+ holds could validate bullish positioning before expiry.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日原油( CL )は6月末までに__に達するでしょうか?
原油( CL )は6月末までに__に達するでしょうか?
$2,254,998 Vol.
↑ $200
12%
↑ $175
14%
↑ $150
19%
↑ $140
24%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
49%
↑ 110ドル
52%
↑ $105
62%
↑ $100
68%
↓ $85
90%
↓ $80
74%
↓ $70
46%
↓ $60
22%
↓ $55
16%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,254,998 Vol.
↑ $200
12%
↑ $175
14%
↑ $150
19%
↑ $140
24%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
49%
↑ 110ドル
52%
↑ $105
62%
↑ $100
68%
↓ $85
90%
↓ $80
74%
↓ $70
46%
↓ $60
22%
↓ $55
16%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
マーケット開始日: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest 35% probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) reaching $90 by June 30, anchored by current front-month futures at $78.20/bbl amid building US inventories, with the latest EIA report showing a 3.4 million barrel surplus versus expectations. Primary downward pressure stems from OPEC+'s signaled production hike post-June cuts, tepid Chinese demand signals from PMI data, and ample non-OPEC supply growth. Upside catalysts include the June 2 OPEC+ meeting or renewed Middle East geopolitical risks. Traders eye weekly EIA releases and Fed rate signals, as sustained $80+ holds could validate bullish positioning before expiry.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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