Trader consensus on Polymarket prices BTS's "Arirang" first-week album sales under 3 million copies at a near-certain 100% implied probability, reflecting skepticism around Hanteo Chart figures amid post-hiatus dynamics and sharp daily sales drop-off after a reported 3.98 million first-day surge on March 20. Recent developments, including March 26-27 dailies plummeting to 100k and 10k copies respectively, underscore fading momentum despite massive pre-orders exceeding 4 million, with competition from groups like SEVENTEEN and Stray Kids fragmenting K-pop buyer attention and solo member activities diluting group focus. Historical precedent post-military service shows tempered debuts; an upset would require official Circle Chart confirmation above 3 million—potentially 4.17 million per preliminary Hanteo totals—or late-week streaming/sales revisions boosting the 3m-3.5m bin before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日BTS「Arirang」ファーストウィークアルバムセール?
BTS「Arirang」ファーストウィークアルバムセール?
300万枚未満 100.0%
300万〜350万 <1%
350万~400万 <1%
400万~450万 <1%
$161,832 Vol.
$161,832 Vol.
300万枚未満
はい
300万〜350万
いいえ
350万~400万
いいえ
400万~450万
いいえ
450万〜500万
いいえ
500万~550万
いいえ
550万〜600万
いいえ
600万枚以上
いいえ
300万枚未満 100.0%
300万〜350万 <1%
350万~400万 <1%
400万~450万 <1%
$161,832 Vol.
$161,832 Vol.
300万枚未満
はい
300万〜350万
いいえ
350万~400万
いいえ
400万~450万
いいえ
450万〜500万
いいえ
500万~550万
いいえ
550万〜600万
いいえ
600万枚以上
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Feb 3, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices BTS's "Arirang" first-week album sales under 3 million copies at a near-certain 100% implied probability, reflecting skepticism around Hanteo Chart figures amid post-hiatus dynamics and sharp daily sales drop-off after a reported 3.98 million first-day surge on March 20. Recent developments, including March 26-27 dailies plummeting to 100k and 10k copies respectively, underscore fading momentum despite massive pre-orders exceeding 4 million, with competition from groups like SEVENTEEN and Stray Kids fragmenting K-pop buyer attention and solo member activities diluting group focus. Historical precedent post-military service shows tempered debuts; an upset would require official Circle Chart confirmation above 3 million—potentially 4.17 million per preliminary Hanteo totals—or late-week streaming/sales revisions boosting the 3m-3.5m bin before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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