Polymarket traders price a 74% implied probability for a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the June 19 meeting, reflecting the central bank's ongoing easing cycle amid sustained disinflation, with annual inflation easing to 5.9% in February 2026 from January's 6.0% and monthly CPI at 0.60% in March. Recent 50 basis point cuts to 15.00% in February and March signal monetary policy normalization as growth moderates to 0.5-1.5% forecasts, despite a Q1 price acceleration to 10.2% seasonally adjusted annualized rate prompting an early April hold. Low odds for an increase (5.8%) underscore absent overheating risks, while no-change (15.5%) hedges near-term volatility; watch the April 24 decision for policy cues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Decrease 81%
No Change 13%
Increase 5.8%
新規
新規
2026/06/19
Decrease
81%
No Change
15%
Increase
6%
Decrease 81%
No Change 13%
Increase 5.8%
新規
新規
2026/06/19
Decrease
$1,558 Vol.
81%
No Change
$449 Vol.
15%
Increase
$7,813 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 74% implied probability for a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the June 19 meeting, reflecting the central bank's ongoing easing cycle amid sustained disinflation, with annual inflation easing to 5.9% in February 2026 from January's 6.0% and monthly CPI at 0.60% in March. Recent 50 basis point cuts to 15.00% in February and March signal monetary policy normalization as growth moderates to 0.5-1.5% forecasts, despite a Q1 price acceleration to 10.2% seasonally adjusted annualized rate prompting an early April hold. Low odds for an increase (5.8%) underscore absent overheating risks, while no-change (15.5%) hedges near-term volatility; watch the April 24 decision for policy cues.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
音量
$9,820終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 74% implied probability for a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the June 19 meeting, reflecting the central bank's ongoing easing cycle amid sustained disinflation, with annual inflation easing to 5.9% in February 2026 from January's 6.0% and monthly CPI at 0.60% in March. Recent 50 basis point cuts to 15.00% in February and March signal monetary policy normalization as growth moderates to 0.5-1.5% forecasts, despite a Q1 price acceleration to 10.2% seasonally adjusted annualized rate prompting an early April hold. Low odds for an increase (5.8%) underscore absent overheating risks, while no-change (15.5%) hedges near-term volatility; watch the April 24 decision for policy cues.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$9,820終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 74% implied probability for a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the June 19 meeting, reflecting the central bank's ongoing easing cycle amid sustained disinflation, with annual inflation easing to 5.9% in February 2026 from January's 6.0% and monthly CPI at 0.60% in March. Recent 50 basis point cuts to 15.00% in February and March signal monetary policy normalization as growth moderates to 0.5-1.5% forecasts, despite a Q1 price acceleration to 10.2% seasonally adjusted annualized rate prompting an early April hold. Low odds for an increase (5.8%) underscore absent overheating risks, while no-change (15.5%) hedges near-term volatility; watch the April 24 decision for policy cues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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