Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96.7% implied probability), driven by recent reports from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the AI lab is targeting a Q4 2026 debut at earliest, potentially raising $60 billion in one of history's largest offerings. This positioning stems from Anthropic's February 2026 Series G funding round, which secured $30 billion at a staggering $380 billion post-money valuation—bolstered by backers like Amazon and Google—eliminating near-term liquidity pressures amid robust Claude model revenue growth nearing $14 billion annualized. No S-1 filing or accelerated prep has emerged in the past month, aligning with typical AI startup timelines favoring private scaling. Realistic challenges include unexpected S-1 disclosures, competitive pressures from OpenAI or xAI IPOs, or volatile public markets prompting an earlier listing, though such shifts remain low-probability given current momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 96.6%
6,000億ドル以上 1.8%
4,000億～6,000億 <1%
3,000〜4,000億 <1%
$927,353 Vol.
$927,353 Vol.
2026/06/30
1000億ドル未満
<1%
1,000〜2,000億ドル
<1%
2,000～3,000億ドル
<1%
3,000〜4,000億
1%
4,000億～6,000億
1%
6,000億ドル以上
2%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
97%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 96.6%
6,000億ドル以上 1.8%
4,000億～6,000億 <1%
3,000〜4,000億 <1%
$927,353 Vol.
$927,353 Vol.
2026/06/30
1000億ドル未満
$191,540 Vol.
<1%
1,000〜2,000億ドル
$64,509 Vol.
<1%
2,000～3,000億ドル
$121,064 Vol.
<1%
3,000〜4,000億
$62,180 Vol.
1%
4,000億～6,000億
$93,284 Vol.
1%
6,000億ドル以上
$232,707 Vol.
2%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
$162,068 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96.7% implied probability), driven by recent reports from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the AI lab is targeting a Q4 2026 debut at earliest, potentially raising $60 billion in one of history's largest offerings. This positioning stems from Anthropic's February 2026 Series G funding round, which secured $30 billion at a staggering $380 billion post-money valuation—bolstered by backers like Amazon and Google—eliminating near-term liquidity pressures amid robust Claude model revenue growth nearing $14 billion annualized. No S-1 filing or accelerated prep has emerged in the past month, aligning with typical AI startup timelines favoring private scaling. Realistic challenges include unexpected S-1 disclosures, competitive pressures from OpenAI or xAI IPOs, or volatile public markets prompting an earlier listing, though such shifts remain low-probability given current momentum.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
音量
$927,353終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96.7% implied probability), driven by recent reports from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the AI lab is targeting a Q4 2026 debut at earliest, potentially raising $60 billion in one of history's largest offerings. This positioning stems from Anthropic's February 2026 Series G funding round, which secured $30 billion at a staggering $380 billion post-money valuation—bolstered by backers like Amazon and Google—eliminating near-term liquidity pressures amid robust Claude model revenue growth nearing $14 billion annualized. No S-1 filing or accelerated prep has emerged in the past month, aligning with typical AI startup timelines favoring private scaling. Realistic challenges include unexpected S-1 disclosures, competitive pressures from OpenAI or xAI IPOs, or volatile public markets prompting an earlier listing, though such shifts remain low-probability given current momentum.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$927,353終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (96.7% implied probability), driven by recent reports from The Information and Bloomberg indicating the AI lab is targeting a Q4 2026 debut at earliest, potentially raising $60 billion in one of history's largest offerings. This positioning stems from Anthropic's February 2026 Series G funding round, which secured $30 billion at a staggering $380 billion post-money valuation—bolstered by backers like Amazon and Google—eliminating near-term liquidity pressures amid robust Claude model revenue growth nearing $14 billion annualized. No S-1 filing or accelerated prep has emerged in the past month, aligning with typical AI startup timelines favoring private scaling. Realistic challenges include unexpected S-1 disclosures, competitive pressures from OpenAI or xAI IPOs, or volatile public markets prompting an earlier listing, though such shifts remain low-probability given current momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問