Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around Apple as the second-largest company by market capitalization at March 31, 2026, close, with a 100% implied probability reflecting its $3.73 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA's $4.24 trillion lead but ahead of Alphabet's $3.46 trillion and Microsoft's $2.70 trillion. This positioning stems from NVIDIA's sustained AI chip dominance driving its top spot, while Apple's resilient services revenue growth and iPhone ecosystem stability have maintained its runner-up status amid volatile tech sector rotations over the past month. Strong capital inflows underscore the wisdom of crowds, though rare tail risks like after-hours surges in challengers or data revisions could theoretically shift rankings before final confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日アップル 100.0%
マイクロソフト <1%
アルファベット <1%
サウジアラムコ <1%
$2,734,096 Vol.
$2,734,096 Vol.

マイクロソフト
いいえ

アルファベット
いいえ

サウジアラムコ
いいえ

NVIDIA
いいえ

アップル
はい

テスラ
いいえ

アマゾン
いいえ
アップル 100.0%
マイクロソフト <1%
アルファベット <1%
サウジアラムコ <1%
$2,734,096 Vol.
$2,734,096 Vol.

マイクロソフト
いいえ

アルファベット
いいえ

サウジアラムコ
いいえ

NVIDIA
いいえ

アップル
はい

テスラ
いいえ

アマゾン
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Dec 23, 2025, 4:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around Apple as the second-largest company by market capitalization at March 31, 2026, close, with a 100% implied probability reflecting its $3.73 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA's $4.24 trillion lead but ahead of Alphabet's $3.46 trillion and Microsoft's $2.70 trillion. This positioning stems from NVIDIA's sustained AI chip dominance driving its top spot, while Apple's resilient services revenue growth and iPhone ecosystem stability have maintained its runner-up status amid volatile tech sector rotations over the past month. Strong capital inflows underscore the wisdom of crowds, though rare tail risks like after-hours surges in challengers or data revisions could theoretically shift rankings before final confirmation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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