Venezuelan crude oil production averaged around 900,000 barrels per day (bpd) in Q1 2026 per OPEC secondary sources, rebounding from sub-800,000 bpd lows amid U.S. sanctions relief that enabled Chevron's April asset swap consolidating Orinoco Belt heavy crude operations and Shell's new production pacts. April exports hit a seven-year high of 1.23 million bpd, fueled by inventory draws and incremental PDVSA gains, signaling supply potential despite diluent shortages and infrastructure constraints. Forecasts from EIA and U.S. officials project 30%-40% annual growth to 1.2-1.5 million bpd, contingent on $1.4 billion investments and political stability; traders eye upcoming OPEC Monthly Oil Market Reports and Q2 PDVSA data for resolution catalysts amid softening global heavy crude differentials.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$97,037 Vol.
28 févr. 2027
1 million
97%
1,1 million
87%
1,2 million
56%
1,3 million
17%
1,4 million
16%
1,5 million
10%
1,7 million
3%
2 millions
6%
$97,037 Vol.
1 million
$26,442 Vol.
97%
1,1 million
$14,092 Vol.
87%
1,2 million
$9,039 Vol.
56%
1,3 million
$6,533 Vol.
17%
1,4 million
$16,606 Vol.
16%
1,5 million
$7,993 Vol.
10%
1,7 million
$3,757 Vol.
3%
2 millions
$12,575 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil production averaged around 900,000 barrels per day (bpd) in Q1 2026 per OPEC secondary sources, rebounding from sub-800,000 bpd lows amid U.S. sanctions relief that enabled Chevron's April asset swap consolidating Orinoco Belt heavy crude operations and Shell's new production pacts. April exports hit a seven-year high of 1.23 million bpd, fueled by inventory draws and incremental PDVSA gains, signaling supply potential despite diluent shortages and infrastructure constraints. Forecasts from EIA and U.S. officials project 30%-40% annual growth to 1.2-1.5 million bpd, contingent on $1.4 billion investments and political stability; traders eye upcoming OPEC Monthly Oil Market Reports and Q2 PDVSA data for resolution catalysts amid softening global heavy crude differentials.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Volume
$97,037Date de fin
28 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude oil production averaged around 900,000 barrels per day (bpd) in Q1 2026 per OPEC secondary sources, rebounding from sub-800,000 bpd lows amid U.S. sanctions relief that enabled Chevron's April asset swap consolidating Orinoco Belt heavy crude operations and Shell's new production pacts. April exports hit a seven-year high of 1.23 million bpd, fueled by inventory draws and incremental PDVSA gains, signaling supply potential despite diluent shortages and infrastructure constraints. Forecasts from EIA and U.S. officials project 30%-40% annual growth to 1.2-1.5 million bpd, contingent on $1.4 billion investments and political stability; traders eye upcoming OPEC Monthly Oil Market Reports and Q2 PDVSA data for resolution catalysts amid softening global heavy crude differentials.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Volume
$97,037Date de fin
28 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan crude oil production averaged around 900,000 barrels per day (bpd) in Q1 2026 per OPEC secondary sources, rebounding from sub-800,000 bpd lows amid U.S. sanctions relief that enabled Chevron's April asset swap consolidating Orinoco Belt heavy crude operations and Shell's new production pacts. April exports hit a seven-year high of 1.23 million bpd, fueled by inventory draws and incremental PDVSA gains, signaling supply potential despite diluent shortages and infrastructure constraints. Forecasts from EIA and U.S. officials project 30%-40% annual growth to 1.2-1.5 million bpd, contingent on $1.4 billion investments and political stability; traders eye upcoming OPEC Monthly Oil Market Reports and Q2 PDVSA data for resolution catalysts amid softening global heavy crude differentials.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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