The March 31 deadline has passed without any reported coup attempt or military uprising against Venezuela's post-Maduro interim government, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No." Following the U.S. military intervention in January 2026 that captured President Nicolás Maduro—now facing trial in New York—Venezuela has seen a fragile political transition, including National Assembly amnesty laws releasing over 650 political prisoners and UN warnings of persistent repressive state apparatus. Opposition leaders like María Corina Machado emphasize diplomatic and electoral paths, while military loyalty remains intact amid economic stabilization efforts. With no defections or unrest in late March, traders dismiss short-term coup risks, though unreported internal factional challenges or external escalations could theoretically trigger resolution disputes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$52,682 Vol.
$52,682 Vol.
31 mars 2026
Oui
$52,682 Vol.
$52,682 Vol.
31 mars 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Venezuela at any point between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Venezuelan government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Venezuelan government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The March 31 deadline has passed without any reported coup attempt or military uprising against Venezuela's post-Maduro interim government, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No." Following the U.S. military intervention in January 2026 that captured President Nicolás Maduro—now facing trial in New York—Venezuela has seen a fragile political transition, including National Assembly amnesty laws releasing over 650 political prisoners and UN warnings of persistent repressive state apparatus. Opposition leaders like María Corina Machado emphasize diplomatic and electoral paths, while military loyalty remains intact amid economic stabilization efforts. With no defections or unrest in late March, traders dismiss short-term coup risks, though unreported internal factional challenges or external escalations could theoretically trigger resolution disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Venezuela at any point between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Venezuelan government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Venezuelan government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Venezuelan government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Venezuelan government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$52,682Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Venezuela at any point between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Venezuelan government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Venezuelan government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The March 31 deadline has passed without any reported coup attempt or military uprising against Venezuela's post-Maduro interim government, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No." Following the U.S. military intervention in January 2026 that captured President Nicolás Maduro—now facing trial in New York—Venezuela has seen a fragile political transition, including National Assembly amnesty laws releasing over 650 political prisoners and UN warnings of persistent repressive state apparatus. Opposition leaders like María Corina Machado emphasize diplomatic and electoral paths, while military loyalty remains intact amid economic stabilization efforts. With no defections or unrest in late March, traders dismiss short-term coup risks, though unreported internal factional challenges or external escalations could theoretically trigger resolution disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Venezuela at any point between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Venezuelan government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Venezuelan government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Venezuelan government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Venezuelan government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$52,682Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The March 31 deadline has passed without any reported coup attempt or military uprising against Venezuela's post-Maduro interim government, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No." Following the U.S. military intervention in January 2026 that captured President Nicolás Maduro—now facing trial in New York—Venezuela has seen a fragile political transition, including National Assembly amnesty laws releasing over 650 political prisoners and UN warnings of persistent repressive state apparatus. Opposition leaders like María Corina Machado emphasize diplomatic and electoral paths, while military loyalty remains intact amid economic stabilization efforts. With no defections or unrest in late March, traders dismiss short-term coup risks, though unreported internal factional challenges or external escalations could theoretically trigger resolution disputes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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