Following the U.S. military operation that captured President Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, Venezuela has undergone a post-regime transition without subsequent internal military rebellion or coup d'etat attempts through the March 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 99.9% on "No" reflects the absence of verifiable unrest, protests, or defection signals from Venezuelan armed forces in the past 30 days, amid stabilizing diplomatic efforts and opposition integration into interim governance. Maduro loyalists have not mounted challenges, and no official announcements indicate foiled plots. While late-breaking reports of covert actions or disputed events could trigger resolution review, such shifts remain highly improbable given the elapsed timeline and current calm.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$52,682 Vol.
$52,682 Vol.
31 mars 2026
Oui
$52,682 Vol.
$52,682 Vol.
31 mars 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Venezuela at any point between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Venezuelan government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Venezuelan government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the U.S. military operation that captured President Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, Venezuela has undergone a post-regime transition without subsequent internal military rebellion or coup d'etat attempts through the March 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 99.9% on "No" reflects the absence of verifiable unrest, protests, or defection signals from Venezuelan armed forces in the past 30 days, amid stabilizing diplomatic efforts and opposition integration into interim governance. Maduro loyalists have not mounted challenges, and no official announcements indicate foiled plots. While late-breaking reports of covert actions or disputed events could trigger resolution review, such shifts remain highly improbable given the elapsed timeline and current calm.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Venezuela at any point between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Venezuelan government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Venezuelan government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Venezuelan government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Venezuelan government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$52,682Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Venezuela at any point between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Venezuelan government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Venezuelan government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the U.S. military operation that captured President Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, Venezuela has undergone a post-regime transition without subsequent internal military rebellion or coup d'etat attempts through the March 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 99.9% on "No" reflects the absence of verifiable unrest, protests, or defection signals from Venezuelan armed forces in the past 30 days, amid stabilizing diplomatic efforts and opposition integration into interim governance. Maduro loyalists have not mounted challenges, and no official announcements indicate foiled plots. While late-breaking reports of covert actions or disputed events could trigger resolution review, such shifts remain highly improbable given the elapsed timeline and current calm.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Venezuela at any point between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Venezuelan government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Venezuelan government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Venezuelan government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Venezuelan government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$52,682Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the U.S. military operation that captured President Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, Venezuela has undergone a post-regime transition without subsequent internal military rebellion or coup d'etat attempts through the March 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 99.9% on "No" reflects the absence of verifiable unrest, protests, or defection signals from Venezuelan armed forces in the past 30 days, amid stabilizing diplomatic efforts and opposition integration into interim governance. Maduro loyalists have not mounted challenges, and no official announcements indicate foiled plots. While late-breaking reports of covert actions or disputed events could trigger resolution review, such shifts remain highly improbable given the elapsed timeline and current calm.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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