Tensions between the Trump administration and Colombian President Gustavo Petro have escalated amid U.S. anti-cartel operations, driving trader focus on potential military strikes inside Colombia. Recent joint U.S.-Ecuador kinetic actions targeted narco-terrorist sites along their shared border with Colombia as part of "Operation Total Extermination," announced March 23, while U.S. prosecutors opened probes into Petro's alleged drug ties on March 20—later clarified as non-charging on March 31. Colombia's inclusion in the U.S. "Greater North America" security perimeter signals closer integration, but Petro's criticisms of prior U.S. strikes on drug vessels killing Colombians have fueled rhetoric. No direct U.S. strike on Colombian soil has materialized; upcoming UN Security Council discussions on Colombia in April and Petro's term limits could influence de-escalation or further bilateral actions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$1,498,511 Vol.
31 janv. 2026
31 décembre
20%
$1,498,511 Vol.
31 décembre
$421,296 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Tensions between the Trump administration and Colombian President Gustavo Petro have escalated amid U.S. anti-cartel operations, driving trader focus on potential military strikes inside Colombia. Recent joint U.S.-Ecuador kinetic actions targeted narco-terrorist sites along their shared border with Colombia as part of "Operation Total Extermination," announced March 23, while U.S. prosecutors opened probes into Petro's alleged drug ties on March 20—later clarified as non-charging on March 31. Colombia's inclusion in the U.S. "Greater North America" security perimeter signals closer integration, but Petro's criticisms of prior U.S. strikes on drug vessels killing Colombians have fueled rhetoric. No direct U.S. strike on Colombian soil has materialized; upcoming UN Security Council discussions on Colombia in April and Petro's term limits could influence de-escalation or further bilateral actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Volume
$1,498,511Date de fin
31 janv. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Tensions between the Trump administration and Colombian President Gustavo Petro have escalated amid U.S. anti-cartel operations, driving trader focus on potential military strikes inside Colombia. Recent joint U.S.-Ecuador kinetic actions targeted narco-terrorist sites along their shared border with Colombia as part of "Operation Total Extermination," announced March 23, while U.S. prosecutors opened probes into Petro's alleged drug ties on March 20—later clarified as non-charging on March 31. Colombia's inclusion in the U.S. "Greater North America" security perimeter signals closer integration, but Petro's criticisms of prior U.S. strikes on drug vessels killing Colombians have fueled rhetoric. No direct U.S. strike on Colombian soil has materialized; upcoming UN Security Council discussions on Colombia in April and Petro's term limits could influence de-escalation or further bilateral actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$1,498,511Date de fin
31 janv. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions between the Trump administration and Colombian President Gustavo Petro have escalated amid U.S. anti-cartel operations, driving trader focus on potential military strikes inside Colombia. Recent joint U.S.-Ecuador kinetic actions targeted narco-terrorist sites along their shared border with Colombia as part of "Operation Total Extermination," announced March 23, while U.S. prosecutors opened probes into Petro's alleged drug ties on March 20—later clarified as non-charging on March 31. Colombia's inclusion in the U.S. "Greater North America" security perimeter signals closer integration, but Petro's criticisms of prior U.S. strikes on drug vessels killing Colombians have fueled rhetoric. No direct U.S. strike on Colombian soil has materialized; upcoming UN Security Council discussions on Colombia in April and Petro's term limits could influence de-escalation or further bilateral actions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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