Recent national polls show President Trump's job approval rating clustered tightly around 39%, fueling Polymarket's fragmented trader consensus with no outcome exceeding 33% probability. A new CNN/SSRS survey released this week registers a second-term low of 35% approval, pressured by the escalating Iran conflict, partial government shutdown, and gas prices spiking above $4 per gallon, which have cratered economic handling ratings to new depths. Declines among working-class white voters and Republicans under 45 compound the slide from March averages near 41% in Morning Consult tracking. With varying pollster methodologies and just days until April 10 resolution via major-pollster averages, sentiment hinges on potential de-escalation announcements or fiscal breakthroughs to tip the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour39.0–39.4 33%
39.5–39.9 32%
38.5–38.9 30%
<38.5 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 avr. 2026
<38.5
22%
38.5–38.9
30%
39.0–39.4
33%
39.5–39.9
32%
40.0–40.4
22%
40.5+
5%
39.0–39.4 33%
39.5–39.9 32%
38.5–38.9 30%
<38.5 22%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 avr. 2026
<38.5
$336 Vol.
22%
38.5–38.9
$2 Vol.
30%
39.0–39.4
$0 Vol.
33%
39.5–39.9
$163 Vol.
32%
40.0–40.4
$21 Vol.
22%
40.5+
$523 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls show President Trump's job approval rating clustered tightly around 39%, fueling Polymarket's fragmented trader consensus with no outcome exceeding 33% probability. A new CNN/SSRS survey released this week registers a second-term low of 35% approval, pressured by the escalating Iran conflict, partial government shutdown, and gas prices spiking above $4 per gallon, which have cratered economic handling ratings to new depths. Declines among working-class white voters and Republicans under 45 compound the slide from March averages near 41% in Morning Consult tracking. With varying pollster methodologies and just days until April 10 resolution via major-pollster averages, sentiment hinges on potential de-escalation announcements or fiscal breakthroughs to tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Volume
$1,045Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls show President Trump's job approval rating clustered tightly around 39%, fueling Polymarket's fragmented trader consensus with no outcome exceeding 33% probability. A new CNN/SSRS survey released this week registers a second-term low of 35% approval, pressured by the escalating Iran conflict, partial government shutdown, and gas prices spiking above $4 per gallon, which have cratered economic handling ratings to new depths. Declines among working-class white voters and Republicans under 45 compound the slide from March averages near 41% in Morning Consult tracking. With varying pollster methodologies and just days until April 10 resolution via major-pollster averages, sentiment hinges on potential de-escalation announcements or fiscal breakthroughs to tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$1,045Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polls show President Trump's job approval rating clustered tightly around 39%, fueling Polymarket's fragmented trader consensus with no outcome exceeding 33% probability. A new CNN/SSRS survey released this week registers a second-term low of 35% approval, pressured by the escalating Iran conflict, partial government shutdown, and gas prices spiking above $4 per gallon, which have cratered economic handling ratings to new depths. Declines among working-class white voters and Republicans under 45 compound the slide from March averages near 41% in Morning Consult tracking. With varying pollster methodologies and just days until April 10 resolution via major-pollster averages, sentiment hinges on potential de-escalation announcements or fiscal breakthroughs to tip the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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