On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which imposes additional tariffs or increases the 25% general tariff on Mexico by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

Only tariffs specifically targeting Mexico will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.