Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

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Trump va-t-il créer un « Conseil de la Paix » pour Gaza en 2025 ?

Market icon

Trump va-t-il créer un « Conseil de la Paix » pour Gaza en 2025 ?

Oui

1% chance
Polymarket

$576,572 Vol.

Oui

1% chance
Polymarket

$576,572 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration formally announces the establishment of the “Board of Peace” (or a clearly equivalent oversight board fulfilling the same role) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, resolve “No.”

Only official policy announcements will qualify.

Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.

A consensus of credible reporting confirming that the “Board of Peace” or equivalent Gaza oversight board has been established, includes U.S. participation and is operational will also qualify.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$576,572
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Oct 8, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration formally announces the establishment of the “Board of Peace” (or a clearly equivalent oversight board fulfilling the same role) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, resolve “No.” Only official policy announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. A consensus of credible reporting confirming that the “Board of Peace” or equivalent Gaza oversight board has been established, includes U.S. participation and is operational will also qualify. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Contesté

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration formally announces the establishment of the “Board of Peace” (or a clearly equivalent oversight board fulfilling the same role) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, resolve “No.”

Only official policy announcements will qualify.

Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.

A consensus of credible reporting confirming that the “Board of Peace” or equivalent Gaza oversight board has been established, includes U.S. participation and is operational will also qualify.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$576,572
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Oct 8, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration formally announces the establishment of the “Board of Peace” (or a clearly equivalent oversight board fulfilling the same role) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, resolve “No.” Only official policy announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. A consensus of credible reporting confirming that the “Board of Peace” or equivalent Gaza oversight board has been established, includes U.S. participation and is operational will also qualify. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Contesté

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump va-t-il créer un « Conseil de la Paix » pour Gaza en 2025 ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump va-t-il établir un « Conseil pour la paix » à Gaza en 2025 ?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump va-t-il créer un « Conseil de la Paix » pour Gaza en 2025 ?" has generated $576.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump va-t-il créer un « Conseil de la Paix » pour Gaza en 2025 ?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Trump va-t-il créer un « Conseil de la Paix » pour Gaza en 2025 ?" is "Trump va-t-il établir un « Conseil pour la paix » à Gaza en 2025 ?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Trump va-t-il créer un « Conseil de la Paix » pour Gaza en 2025 ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.