Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intent to complete the full legislative term ending no later than August 2027, with the minority PSOE-led coalition government facing no active motion of no confidence, state of emergency, or other constitutional trigger for dissolution. Recent regional setbacks for the PSOE in places such as Aragón and Extremadura have not translated into national parliamentary instability capable of forcing an early vote, while budget negotiations with partners including Junts continue without immediate breakdown. Sánchez has rejected opposition demands for a snap contest and signaled plans to seek re-election on the regular schedule, leaving traders to price in the absence of compelling catalysts for dissolution before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$22,446 Vol.
$22,446 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$22,446 Vol.
$22,446 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intent to complete the full legislative term ending no later than August 2027, with the minority PSOE-led coalition government facing no active motion of no confidence, state of emergency, or other constitutional trigger for dissolution. Recent regional setbacks for the PSOE in places such as Aragón and Extremadura have not translated into national parliamentary instability capable of forcing an early vote, while budget negotiations with partners including Junts continue without immediate breakdown. Sánchez has rejected opposition demands for a snap contest and signaled plans to seek re-election on the regular schedule, leaving traders to price in the absence of compelling catalysts for dissolution before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Volume
$22,446Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intent to complete the full legislative term ending no later than August 2027, with the minority PSOE-led coalition government facing no active motion of no confidence, state of emergency, or other constitutional trigger for dissolution. Recent regional setbacks for the PSOE in places such as Aragón and Extremadura have not translated into national parliamentary instability capable of forcing an early vote, while budget negotiations with partners including Junts continue without immediate breakdown. Sánchez has rejected opposition demands for a snap contest and signaled plans to seek re-election on the regular schedule, leaving traders to price in the absence of compelling catalysts for dissolution before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,446Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intent to complete the full legislative term ending no later than August 2027, with the minority PSOE-led coalition government facing no active motion of no confidence, state of emergency, or other constitutional trigger for dissolution. Recent regional setbacks for the PSOE in places such as Aragón and Extremadura have not translated into national parliamentary instability capable of forcing an early vote, while budget negotiations with partners including Junts continue without immediate breakdown. Sánchez has rejected opposition demands for a snap contest and signaled plans to seek re-election on the regular schedule, leaving traders to price in the absence of compelling catalysts for dissolution before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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