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Monde·Affaires Mondiales

Élections anticipées en Espagne convoquées par... ?

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Monde·Affaires Mondiales

Élections anticipées en Espagne convoquées par... ?

Dec 31, 2025

Dec 31

Dec 31, 2025

Dec 31

$127,939 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$127,939 Vol.

Polymarket

30 juin 2026

$34,440 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority Socialist (PSOE) government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez relies on fragile support from Catalan separatist parties like Junts and ERC following the 2023 snap election, which delivered no outright majority. Recent tensions stem from the controversial amnesty law for Catalan independence leaders, passed in late 2024 amid massive protests and opposition from the conservative Popular Party (PP) led by Alberto Núñez Feijóo, who has called for Sánchez's resignation. No new snap election has been triggered, but the ongoing 2025 budget impasse in Congress—facing a key vote deadline in December—could force early polls if coalition partners withdraw backing. Traders monitor parliamentary arithmetic, no-confidence motions, and Sánchez's public statements for signals of dissolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$127,939
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority Socialist (PSOE) government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez relies on fragile support from Catalan separatist parties like Junts and ERC following the 2023 snap election, which delivered no outright majority. Recent tensions stem from the controversial amnesty law for Catalan independence leaders, passed in late 2024 amid massive protests and opposition from the conservative Popular Party (PP) led by Alberto Núñez Feijóo, who has called for Sánchez's resignation. No new snap election has been triggered, but the ongoing 2025 budget impasse in Congress—facing a key vote deadline in December—could force early polls if coalition partners withdraw backing. Traders monitor parliamentary arithmetic, no-confidence motions, and Sánchez's public statements for signals of dissolution.

Spain's minority Socialist (PSOE) government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez relies on fragile support from Catalan separatist parties like Junts and ERC following the 2023 snap election, which delivered no outright majority. Recent tensions stem from the controversial amnesty law for Catalan independence leaders, passed in late 2024 amid massive protests and opposition from the conservative Popular Party (PP) led by Alberto Núñez Feijóo, who has called for Sánchez's resignation. No new snap election has been triggered, but the ongoing 2025 budget impasse in Congress—facing a key vote deadline in December—could force early polls if coalition partners withdraw backing. Traders monitor parliamentary arithmetic, no-confidence motions, and Sánchez's public statements for signals of dissolution.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Élections anticipées en Espagne convoquées par... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 juin 2026 » à 12%, suivi de « 31 décembre 2025 » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 12¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 12% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élections anticipées en Espagne convoquées par... ? » a généré $127.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 28, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élections anticipées en Espagne convoquées par... ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élections anticipées en Espagne convoquées par... ? » est « 30 juin 2026 » à 12%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 12% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 décembre 2025 » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élections anticipées en Espagne convoquées par... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.