Trader consensus heavily favors no cut to long-term capital gains tax rates before 2027, reflecting the recent enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act—signed by President Trump—which delivered the largest tax cuts in history via permanent extension of 2017 reforms, no tax on tips, overtime, or Social Security benefits, yet preserved existing capital gains brackets at 0%, 15%, and 20%. A March proposal to lower rates faced swift criticism from fiscal watchdogs like the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget for potentially adding nearly $1 trillion to the national debt over a decade, stalling momentum amid reconciliation constraints and upcoming debt ceiling debates. With limited legislative windows remaining and no committee advancement, traders see significant barriers despite ongoing discussions on targeted relief like farmland deferrals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no cut to long-term capital gains tax rates before 2027, reflecting the recent enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act—signed by President Trump—which delivered the largest tax cuts in history via permanent extension of 2017 reforms, no tax on tips, overtime, or Social Security benefits, yet preserved existing capital gains brackets at 0%, 15%, and 20%. A March proposal to lower rates faced swift criticism from fiscal watchdogs like the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget for potentially adding nearly $1 trillion to the national debt over a decade, stalling momentum amid reconciliation constraints and upcoming debt ceiling debates. With limited legislative windows remaining and no committee advancement, traders see significant barriers despite ongoing discussions on targeted relief like farmland deferrals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$1,064Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no cut to long-term capital gains tax rates before 2027, reflecting the recent enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act—signed by President Trump—which delivered the largest tax cuts in history via permanent extension of 2017 reforms, no tax on tips, overtime, or Social Security benefits, yet preserved existing capital gains brackets at 0%, 15%, and 20%. A March proposal to lower rates faced swift criticism from fiscal watchdogs like the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget for potentially adding nearly $1 trillion to the national debt over a decade, stalling momentum amid reconciliation constraints and upcoming debt ceiling debates. With limited legislative windows remaining and no committee advancement, traders see significant barriers despite ongoing discussions on targeted relief like farmland deferrals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,064Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no cut to long-term capital gains tax rates before 2027, reflecting the recent enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act—signed by President Trump—which delivered the largest tax cuts in history via permanent extension of 2017 reforms, no tax on tips, overtime, or Social Security benefits, yet preserved existing capital gains brackets at 0%, 15%, and 20%. A March proposal to lower rates faced swift criticism from fiscal watchdogs like the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget for potentially adding nearly $1 trillion to the national debt over a decade, stalling momentum amid reconciliation constraints and upcoming debt ceiling debates. With limited legislative windows remaining and no committee advancement, traders see significant barriers despite ongoing discussions on targeted relief like farmland deferrals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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