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Will the U.S. deport illegal migrants to El Salvador before April?

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Will the U.S. deport illegal migrants to El Salvador before April?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$25,108 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$25,108 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any illegal alien who is not a citizen of El Salvador in the custody of U.S. law enforcement or correctional authorities, is transferred to El Salvador for the purpose of incarceration or deportation by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, an illegal alien must be transferred to El Salvador, and physically enter the terrestrial or territory. Entering the maritime territory or airspace will not qualify.

Any transfer meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or reversed by judicial or other actions.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,108
Date de fin
Mar 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2025, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any illegal alien who is not a citizen of El Salvador in the custody of U.S. law enforcement or correctional authorities, is transferred to El Salvador for the purpose of incarceration or deportation by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, an illegal alien must be transferred to El Salvador, and physically enter the terrestrial or territory. Entering the maritime territory or airspace will not qualify. Any transfer meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or reversed by judicial or other actions. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any illegal alien who is not a citizen of El Salvador in the custody of U.S. law enforcement or correctional authorities, is transferred to El Salvador for the purpose of incarceration or deportation by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, an illegal alien must be transferred to El Salvador, and physically enter the terrestrial or territory. Entering the maritime territory or airspace will not qualify.

Any transfer meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or reversed by judicial or other actions.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,108
Date de fin
Mar 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2025, 3:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any illegal alien who is not a citizen of El Salvador in the custody of U.S. law enforcement or correctional authorities, is transferred to El Salvador for the purpose of incarceration or deportation by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, an illegal alien must be transferred to El Salvador, and physically enter the terrestrial or territory. Entering the maritime territory or airspace will not qualify. Any transfer meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or reversed by judicial or other actions. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the U.S. deport illegal migrants to El Salvador before April? " is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will the U.S. deport illegal migrants to El Salvador before April? " has generated $25.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will the U.S. deport illegal migrants to El Salvador before April? ," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the U.S. deport illegal migrants to El Salvador before April? " is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the U.S. deport illegal migrants to El Salvador before April? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.