This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Dorozhnje railway station located in Donetsk Oblast by August 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the railway station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie+train+station+zoom.png

Train station Location in Dorozhnje: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie+train+station.png

Dorozhnje location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/dorozhnie.png

Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/2EoGpWbL1pks3U2S9

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.