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Géopolitique·Russie

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Market icon
Géopolitique·Russie

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

61% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
61% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kremlin aide Yury Ushakov confirmed in February that President Putin accepted President Xi Jinping's invitation for an official visit to China in the first half of 2026 following their videoconference, signaling deepened bilateral ties amid shared foreign policy interests. Recent reports from late March indicate preparations are advancing, with dates for a potential May trip—possibly following U.S. President Trump's rescheduled May 13-14 summit—being finalized for announcement soon, as stated by Russian officials on March 23. Trader consensus at 60.5% Yes reflects this diplomatic momentum and historical patterns of Russia-China summits, balanced against uncertainty from unconfirmed scheduling and ongoing global tensions like the Iran conflict that could delay travel.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,127
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kremlin aide Yury Ushakov confirmed in February that President Putin accepted President Xi Jinping's invitation for an official visit to China in the first half of 2026 following their videoconference, signaling deepened bilateral ties amid shared foreign policy interests. Recent reports from late March indicate preparations are advancing, with dates for a potential May trip—possibly following U.S. President Trump's rescheduled May 13-14 summit—being finalized for announcement soon, as stated by Russian officials on March 23. Trader consensus at 60.5% Yes reflects this diplomatic momentum and historical patterns of Russia-China summits, balanced against uncertainty from unconfirmed scheduling and ongoing global tensions like the Iran conflict that could delay travel.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,177
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Will Putin visit China by May 31? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 61% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 61¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 61% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Will Putin visit China by May 31? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 1, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Will Putin visit China by May 31? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Will Putin visit China by May 31? » est de 61% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 61% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Will Putin visit China by May 31? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.