This market will resolve to "Yes" if the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Mikie Sherrill in the 2025 New Jersey Governor Election is greater than 14%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Sherrill’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results.

This market will resolve based on the official certified statewide results as published by the New Jersey Division of Elections (New Jersey Department of State).

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.