Divergent monetary policy trajectories between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank anchor EUR/USD near 1.0825, with traders betting on faster US rate cuts amid cooling inflation (2.4% YoY core CPI in September) versus the ECB's cautious stance facing sticky Eurozone services inflation at 3.7%. Robust US nonfarm payrolls (254,000 jobs added last month, beating consensus) and resilient GDP growth (3% annualized Q3 estimate) bolster the dollar, widening yield differentials—10-year Treasuries at 4.1% versus Bunds near 2.2%. Market-implied forwards point to modest EUR strength toward 1.10 by end-2026 on expected Fed funds convergence to 3.25%, but US election risks and Q4 GDP data loom as swing factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$18,558 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 1,40
12%
↑ 1,35
16%
↑ 1,30
25%
↑ 1,26
36%
↑ 1,24
40%
↑ 1,22
61%
↑ 1,20
69%
↓ 1,14
78%
↓ 1,12
59%
↓ 1,10
32%
↓ 1,05
23%
↓ 1,00
12%
$18,558 Vol.
↑ 1,40
$908 Vol.
12%
↑ 1,35
$392 Vol.
16%
↑ 1,30
$392 Vol.
25%
↑ 1,26
$0 Vol.
36%
↑ 1,24
$1,604 Vol.
40%
↑ 1,22
$0 Vol.
61%
↑ 1,20
$0 Vol.
69%
↓ 1,14
$4,165 Vol.
78%
↓ 1,12
$0 Vol.
59%
↓ 1,10
$0 Vol.
32%
↓ 1,05
$0 Vol.
23%
↓ 1,00
$1,235 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Divergent monetary policy trajectories between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank anchor EUR/USD near 1.0825, with traders betting on faster US rate cuts amid cooling inflation (2.4% YoY core CPI in September) versus the ECB's cautious stance facing sticky Eurozone services inflation at 3.7%. Robust US nonfarm payrolls (254,000 jobs added last month, beating consensus) and resilient GDP growth (3% annualized Q3 estimate) bolster the dollar, widening yield differentials—10-year Treasuries at 4.1% versus Bunds near 2.2%. Market-implied forwards point to modest EUR strength toward 1.10 by end-2026 on expected Fed funds convergence to 3.25%, but US election risks and Q4 GDP data loom as swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Marché ouvert : Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Volume
$18,558Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Divergent monetary policy trajectories between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank anchor EUR/USD near 1.0825, with traders betting on faster US rate cuts amid cooling inflation (2.4% YoY core CPI in September) versus the ECB's cautious stance facing sticky Eurozone services inflation at 3.7%. Robust US nonfarm payrolls (254,000 jobs added last month, beating consensus) and resilient GDP growth (3% annualized Q3 estimate) bolster the dollar, widening yield differentials—10-year Treasuries at 4.1% versus Bunds near 2.2%. Market-implied forwards point to modest EUR strength toward 1.10 by end-2026 on expected Fed funds convergence to 3.25%, but US election risks and Q4 GDP data loom as swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Volume
$18,558Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Divergent monetary policy trajectories between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank anchor EUR/USD near 1.0825, with traders betting on faster US rate cuts amid cooling inflation (2.4% YoY core CPI in September) versus the ECB's cautious stance facing sticky Eurozone services inflation at 3.7%. Robust US nonfarm payrolls (254,000 jobs added last month, beating consensus) and resilient GDP growth (3% annualized Q3 estimate) bolster the dollar, widening yield differentials—10-year Treasuries at 4.1% versus Bunds near 2.2%. Market-implied forwards point to modest EUR strength toward 1.10 by end-2026 on expected Fed funds convergence to 3.25%, but US election risks and Q4 GDP data loom as swing factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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