Trader consensus on the Polymarket "Who will visit Venezuela by March 31" market reflects low probabilities for major world leaders amid strained US-Venezuela relations and Maduro regime isolation following disputed 2024 election certification. No high-profile visits have occurred since Barbados PM Mia Mottley's February trip, with US officials limiting engagement to low-level talks on oil sanctions and migration. Recent State Department briefings emphasize certification of opposition wins as precondition for normalized ties, reducing odds for figures like Secretary Blinken or Latin American presidents. Upcoming factors include potential EU observer announcements and July election aftermath diplomacy, though geopolitical risks keep markets skeptical of breakthroughs before deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$30,547 Vol.
Richard Grenell
93%
Dinorah Figuera
47%
Karoline Leavitt
34%
Pete Hegseth
26%
Dan Caine
27%
Edmundo González Urrutia
13%
Emmanuel Macron
11%
Keir Starmer
11%
María Corina Machado
7%
JD Vance
19%
Marco Rubio
9%
Jared Kushner
18%
Donald Trump
2%
Larry Fink
33%
Charles Myers
58%
Nicolás Maduro
34%
Jamie Dimon
-
$30,547 Vol.
Richard Grenell
93%
Dinorah Figuera
47%
Karoline Leavitt
34%
Pete Hegseth
26%
Dan Caine
27%
Edmundo González Urrutia
13%
Emmanuel Macron
11%
Keir Starmer
11%
María Corina Machado
7%
JD Vance
19%
Marco Rubio
9%
Jared Kushner
18%
Donald Trump
2%
Larry Fink
33%
Charles Myers
58%
Nicolás Maduro
34%
Jamie Dimon
-
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the Polymarket "Who will visit Venezuela by March 31" market reflects low probabilities for major world leaders amid strained US-Venezuela relations and Maduro regime isolation following disputed 2024 election certification. No high-profile visits have occurred since Barbados PM Mia Mottley's February trip, with US officials limiting engagement to low-level talks on oil sanctions and migration. Recent State Department briefings emphasize certification of opposition wins as precondition for normalized ties, reducing odds for figures like Secretary Blinken or Latin American presidents. Upcoming factors include potential EU observer announcements and July election aftermath diplomacy, though geopolitical risks keep markets skeptical of breakthroughs before deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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