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Qui sera le premier à quitter le cabinet de Donald Trump en 2025 ?

Market icon

Qui sera le premier à quitter le cabinet de Donald Trump en 2025 ?

None en 2025 100.0%

Mike Waltz <1%

Stephen Miran <1%

J.D. Vance <1%

Polymarket

$1,044,482 Vol.

None en 2025 100.0%

Mike Waltz <1%

Stephen Miran <1%

J.D. Vance <1%

Polymarket

$1,044,482 Vol.

Mike Waltz

$17,386 Vol.

Non

Stephen Miran

$77,707 Vol.

Non

J.D. Vance

$321,435 Vol.

Non

Marco Rubio

$27,525 Vol.

Non

Scott Bessent

$22,643 Vol.

Non

Pete Hegseth

$62,130 Vol.

Non

Pam Bondi

$36,491 Vol.

Non

Doug Burgum

$11,443 Vol.

Non

Brooke Rollins

$24,799 Vol.

Non

Howard Lutnick

$20,272 Vol.

Non

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$14,398 Vol.

Non

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$31,592 Vol.

Non

Scott Turner

$14,683 Vol.

Non

Sean Duffy

$14,721 Vol.

Non

Chris Wright

$15,796 Vol.

Non

Linda McMahon

$12,004 Vol.

Non

Doug Collins

$18,828 Vol.

Non

Kristi Noem

$57,119 Vol.

Non

None en 2025

$84,447 Vol.

Oui

Lee Zeldin

$16,255 Vol.

Non

Susie Wiles

$46,307 Vol.

Non

Tulsi Gabbard

$33,844 Vol.

Non

Russell T. Vought

$14,208 Vol.

Non

John Ratcliffe

$12,765 Vol.

Non

Jamieson Greer

$14,534 Vol.

Non

Titre de l’élément de groupe : Kelly Loeffler

$21,149 Vol.

Non

This market will resolve according to the next individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”.

An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first.

For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.

An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.

If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position (e.g. Mike Waltz) will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volume
$1,044,482
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Jul 21, 2025, 6:43 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position (e.g. Mike Waltz) will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qui sera le premier à quitter le cabinet de Donald Trump en 2025 ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "None en 2025" at 100%, followed by "Mike Waltz" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qui sera le premier à quitter le cabinet de Donald Trump en 2025 ?" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 21, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qui sera le premier à quitter le cabinet de Donald Trump en 2025 ?," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qui sera le premier à quitter le cabinet de Donald Trump en 2025 ?" is "None en 2025" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mike Waltz" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qui sera le premier à quitter le cabinet de Donald Trump en 2025 ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.