Market icon
Politique·Trump

Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ?

Market icon
Politique·Trump

Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ?

$1,556,965 Vol.

30 juin 2026
Polymarket

$1,556,965 Vol.

Polymarket

Richard Branson

$49,631 Vol.

26%

Kevin Spacey

$26,016 Vol.

19%

Steve Bannon

$57,601 Vol.

13%

Woody Allen

$12,191 Vol.

12%

Steven Tisch

$0 Vol.

10%

Deepak Chopra

$0 Vol.

10%

Harvey Weinstein

$17,148 Vol.

8%

Noam Chomsky

$24,687 Vol.

8%

Bill Gates

$97,020 Vol.

7%

Bill Clinton

$257,912 Vol.

6%

Bill Cosby

$8,675 Vol.

4%

Michael Jackson

$153,198 Vol.

4%

Donald Trump

$130,891 Vol.

4%

Hillary Clinton

$39,715 Vol.

4%

Peter Attia

$6,967 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$78,509 Vol.

3%

Jay-Z

$575,200 Vol.

3%

Marco Rubio

$21,643 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kevin Spacey leads trader consensus at 32% implied probability for visiting Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, driven by his prior Epstein associations amid the DOJ's January 30, 2026, release of over 3.5 million pages mandated by the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act, which included partial flight manifests, emails, and ledgers but no explicit confirmations of physical presence for listed options like Richard Branson (14%) or Woody Allen (12%). High-volume trading on Bill Clinton and Donald Trump reflects partisan scrutiny, yet probabilities remain dispersed below 15% due to evidentiary gaps distinguishing mentions from verified visits. Upcoming events, including American Oversight's federal court hearing and Pam Bondi's April 14 deposition on Epstein file reviews, plus potential congressional probes or victim suits, could shift odds before June 30 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,556,965
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kevin Spacey leads trader consensus at 32% implied probability for visiting Jeffrey Epstein's Little St. James island, driven by his prior Epstein associations amid the DOJ's January 30, 2026, release of over 3.5 million pages mandated by the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act, which included partial flight manifests, emails, and ledgers but no explicit confirmations of physical presence for listed options like Richard Branson (14%) or Woody Allen (12%). High-volume trading on Bill Clinton and Donald Trump reflects partisan scrutiny, yet probabilities remain dispersed below 15% due to evidentiary gaps distinguishing mentions from verified visits. Upcoming events, including American Oversight's federal court hearing and Pam Bondi's April 14 deposition on Epstein file reviews, plus potential congressional probes or victim suits, could shift odds before June 30 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,556,965
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Questions fréquentes

« Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 18 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Richard Branson » à 26%, suivi de « Kevin Spacey » à 19%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 26¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ? » a généré $1.6 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 12, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ? », parcourez les 18 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ? » est « Richard Branson » à 26%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Kevin Spacey » à 19%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.