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Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Market icon

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Google 54%

Anthropic 38%

OpenAI 3.1%

DeepSeek 1.8%

Polymarket

$74,005 Vol.

Google 54%

Anthropic 38%

OpenAI 3.1%

DeepSeek 1.8%

Polymarket

$74,005 Vol.

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Google

$10,892 Vol.

54%

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Anthropic

$6,548 Vol.

38%

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OpenAI

$2,536 Vol.

3%

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DeepSeek

$2,424 Vol.

2%

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Mistral

$2,472 Vol.

2%

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Baidu

$2,308 Vol.

2%

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xAI

$2,513 Vol.

1%

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ByteDance

$5,929 Vol.

1%

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Z.ai

$16,781 Vol.

1%

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Amazon

$2,420 Vol.

<1%

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Moonshot

$2,227 Vol.

<1%

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Alibaba

$14,300 Vol.

<1%

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Meituan

$2,656 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Google as the frontrunner at 54% implied probability to own the third-best AI model by April 30, 2026, per the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard's Elo rankings, driven by Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview's current third-place hold at 1493 Elo—trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 variants (1504 and 1500). Recent March releases, including xAI's Grok 4.20 beta (1491 Elo, fourth) and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 high (1484, sixth), have intensified competition but failed to dislodge Google, reflecting DeepMind's steady multimodal reasoning gains from February's Gemini 3.1 Pro launch. Anthropic trails at 37.5%, buoyed by leaderboard dominance yet tempered by no confirmed April upgrades post-Claude 4.6; upcoming Google I/O in May looms as a potential catalyst for shifts, underscoring prediction markets' wisdom-of-crowds edge in tracking rapid AI capability evolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Google as the frontrunner at 54% implied probability to own the third-best AI model by April 30, 2026, per the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard's Elo rankings, driven by Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview's current third-place hold at 1493 Elo—trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 variants (1504 and 1500). Recent March releases, including xAI's Grok 4.20 beta (1491 Elo, fourth) and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 high (1484, sixth), have intensified competition but failed to dislodge Google, reflecting DeepMind's steady multimodal reasoning gains from February's Gemini 3.1 Pro launch. Anthropic trails at 37.5%, buoyed by leaderboard dominance yet tempered by no confirmed April upgrades post-Claude 4.6; upcoming Google I/O in May looms as a potential catalyst for shifts, underscoring prediction markets' wisdom-of-crowds edge in tracking rapid AI capability evolution.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Google as the frontrunner at 54% implied probability to own the third-best AI model by April 30, 2026, per the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard's Elo rankings, driven by Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview's current third-place hold at 1493 Elo—trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 variants (1504 and 1500). Recent March releases, including xAI's Grok 4.20 beta (1491 Elo, fourth) and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 high (1484, sixth), have intensified competition but failed to dislodge Google, reflecting DeepMind's steady multimodal reasoning gains from February's Gemini 3.1 Pro launch. Anthropic trails at 37.5%, buoyed by leaderboard dominance yet tempered by no confirmed April upgrades post-Claude 4.6; upcoming Google I/O in May looms as a potential catalyst for shifts, underscoring prediction markets' wisdom-of-crowds edge in tracking rapid AI capability evolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Google as the frontrunner at 54% implied probability to own the third-best AI model by April 30, 2026, per the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard's Elo rankings, driven by Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview's current third-place hold at 1493 Elo—trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 variants (1504 and 1500). Recent March releases, including xAI's Grok 4.20 beta (1491 Elo, fourth) and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 high (1484, sixth), have intensified competition but failed to dislodge Google, reflecting DeepMind's steady multimodal reasoning gains from February's Gemini 3.1 Pro launch. Anthropic trails at 37.5%, buoyed by leaderboard dominance yet tempered by no confirmed April upgrades post-Claude 4.6; upcoming Google I/O in May looms as a potential catalyst for shifts, underscoring prediction markets' wisdom-of-crowds edge in tracking rapid AI capability evolution.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Which company has the third best AI model end of April? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Google » à 54%, suivi de « Anthropic » à 38%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 54¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Which company has the third best AI model end of April? » a généré $74K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 20, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Which company has the third best AI model end of April? », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Which company has the third best AI model end of April? » est « Google » à 54%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Anthropic » à 38%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Which company has the third best AI model end of April? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.