Market icon

What will Trump say during his Independence Day remarks on July 4?

Market icon

What will Trump say during his Independence Day remarks on July 4?

$1,008,247 Vol.

Jul 4, 2025
Polymarket

$1,008,247 Vol.

Polymarket

America / American 35+

$81,096 Vol.

No

Million / Billion / Trillion 7+

$42,599 Vol.

No

God 5+

$50,960 Vol.

No

Hell 3+

$34,950 Vol.

No

Joe / Biden

$42,196 Vol.

No

George Washington

$35,615 Vol.

No

Big Beautiful Bill

$165,820 Vol.

No

Space Force

$20,590 Vol.

No

Dome

$13,910 Vol.

No

ICE

$41,334 Vol.

No

Trans / Transgender

$24,711 Vol.

No

Israel / Iran

$64,093 Vol.

No

Russia / Ukraine

$45,901 Vol.

No

Nazi / Hitler

$57,402 Vol.

No

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$80,141 Vol.

No

Crypto / Bitcoin

$206,929 Vol.

No

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech at an Independence Day celebration on July 4. You can find more information on that here: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word comprised of two full words in common usage will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about the main speech Trump gives at the named event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

The resolution source will be video of the events.
Volume
$1,008,247
Date de fin
Jul 4, 2025
Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2025, 12:11 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech at an Independence Day celebration on July 4. You can find more information on that here: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word comprised of two full words in common usage will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the main speech Trump gives at the named event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during his Independence Day remarks on July 4?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "America / American 35+" at 0%, followed by "Million / Billion / Trillion 7+" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during his Independence Day remarks on July 4?" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during his Independence Day remarks on July 4?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "What will Trump say during his Independence Day remarks on July 4?" is "America / American 35+" at just 0%, with "Million / Billion / Trillion 7+" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during his Independence Day remarks on July 4?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.