SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a June IPO, reported April 1, has anchored trader consensus around a $1.75 trillion valuation target, splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly at 32% for $1.50-1.75T and 31% for $1.75-2.00T amid real capital flows on Polymarket. This surge from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation reflects Starlink subscriber growth, Starship reusability milestones, and integration with Elon Musk's xAI, boosting revenue projections and competitive moat in satellite broadband and launch services. Key swing factors include IPO roadshow demand, prevailing equity market volatility, and regulatory approvals, with final pricing hinging on institutional appetite for the largest-ever listing potentially raising $75 billion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour1,50-1,75 T 32%
1,75-2,00 T 31%
2,00-2,25 T 14%
1,25-1,50T 8.9%
$91,002 Vol.
$91,002 Vol.
<1,25T
5%
1,25-1,50T
9%
1,50-1,75 T
32%
1,75-2,00 T
31%
2,00-2,25 T
14%
2,25-2,50 T
9%
2,50 T+
6%
1,50-1,75 T 32%
1,75-2,00 T 31%
2,00-2,25 T 14%
1,25-1,50T 8.9%
$91,002 Vol.
$91,002 Vol.
<1,25T
$54,069 Vol.
5%
1,25-1,50T
$9,459 Vol.
9%
1,50-1,75 T
$5,190 Vol.
32%
1,75-2,00 T
$4,620 Vol.
31%
2,00-2,25 T
$3,768 Vol.
14%
2,25-2,50 T
$6,866 Vol.
9%
2,50 T+
$7,030 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a June IPO, reported April 1, has anchored trader consensus around a $1.75 trillion valuation target, splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly at 32% for $1.50-1.75T and 31% for $1.75-2.00T amid real capital flows on Polymarket. This surge from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation reflects Starlink subscriber growth, Starship reusability milestones, and integration with Elon Musk's xAI, boosting revenue projections and competitive moat in satellite broadband and launch services. Key swing factors include IPO roadshow demand, prevailing equity market volatility, and regulatory approvals, with final pricing hinging on institutional appetite for the largest-ever listing potentially raising $75 billion.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$91,002Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a June IPO, reported April 1, has anchored trader consensus around a $1.75 trillion valuation target, splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly at 32% for $1.50-1.75T and 31% for $1.75-2.00T amid real capital flows on Polymarket. This surge from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation reflects Starlink subscriber growth, Starship reusability milestones, and integration with Elon Musk's xAI, boosting revenue projections and competitive moat in satellite broadband and launch services. Key swing factors include IPO roadshow demand, prevailing equity market volatility, and regulatory approvals, with final pricing hinging on institutional appetite for the largest-ever listing potentially raising $75 billion.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,002Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for a June IPO, reported April 1, has anchored trader consensus around a $1.75 trillion valuation target, splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly at 32% for $1.50-1.75T and 31% for $1.75-2.00T amid real capital flows on Polymarket. This surge from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation reflects Starlink subscriber growth, Starship reusability milestones, and integration with Elon Musk's xAI, boosting revenue projections and competitive moat in satellite broadband and launch services. Key swing factors include IPO roadshow demand, prevailing equity market volatility, and regulatory approvals, with final pricing hinging on institutional appetite for the largest-ever listing potentially raising $75 billion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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