Market icon

Les États-Unis frappent l'Iran par... ?

$130,153,349 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$130,153,349
Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026
Créé le
Jan 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Market icon

Les États-Unis frappent l'Iran par... ?

$130,153,349 Vol.

30 janvier

$3,078,316 Vol.

1%

31 janvier

$33,038,945 Vol.

7%

1er février

$494,366 Vol.

11%

2 février

$145,345 Vol.

16%

3 février

$39,893 Vol.

17%

4 février

$55,480 Vol.

19%

5 février

$62,591 Vol.

20%

6 février

$1,512,793 Vol.

26%

13 février

$1,035,712 Vol.

42%

28 février

$4,283,764 Vol.

56%

31 mars

$4,256,949 Vol.

67%

30 juin

$2,289,685 Vol.

71%

À propos

Volume
$130,153,349
Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026
Créé le
Jan 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.