US forces conducted a limited ground and air operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in Caracas amid escalating tensions over disputed elections and sanctions evasion, marking the first such entry in decades. Following the raid, US troops withdrew promptly, with the Defense Department confirming no ongoing presence by January 4. Recent diplomatic thawing includes the US reopening its embassy in Caracas on March 31 and lifting sanctions on interim leader Delcy Rodríguez on April 2, signaling normalization and reduced military risk. Congressional resolutions urge withdrawal from hostilities, while President Trump has directed military oversight via Secretary Pete Hegseth for the transitional government, though no new deployments are announced. Traders weigh this de-escalation against potential instability from Venezuelan hardliners or oil-related disputes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$1,257,502 Vol.
31 janv. 2026
31 mars
1%
30 juin
13%
$1,257,502 Vol.
31 mars
$3,502 Vol.
1%
30 juin
$173,910 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a limited ground and air operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in Caracas amid escalating tensions over disputed elections and sanctions evasion, marking the first such entry in decades. Following the raid, US troops withdrew promptly, with the Defense Department confirming no ongoing presence by January 4. Recent diplomatic thawing includes the US reopening its embassy in Caracas on March 31 and lifting sanctions on interim leader Delcy Rodríguez on April 2, signaling normalization and reduced military risk. Congressional resolutions urge withdrawal from hostilities, while President Trump has directed military oversight via Secretary Pete Hegseth for the transitional government, though no new deployments are announced. Traders weigh this de-escalation against potential instability from Venezuelan hardliners or oil-related disputes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ET
Volume
$1,257,502Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a limited ground and air operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in Caracas amid escalating tensions over disputed elections and sanctions evasion, marking the first such entry in decades. Following the raid, US troops withdrew promptly, with the Defense Department confirming no ongoing presence by January 4. Recent diplomatic thawing includes the US reopening its embassy in Caracas on March 31 and lifting sanctions on interim leader Delcy Rodríguez on April 2, signaling normalization and reduced military risk. Congressional resolutions urge withdrawal from hostilities, while President Trump has directed military oversight via Secretary Pete Hegseth for the transitional government, though no new deployments are announced. Traders weigh this de-escalation against potential instability from Venezuelan hardliners or oil-related disputes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,257,502Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
US forces conducted a limited ground and air operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in Caracas amid escalating tensions over disputed elections and sanctions evasion, marking the first such entry in decades. Following the raid, US troops withdrew promptly, with the Defense Department confirming no ongoing presence by January 4. Recent diplomatic thawing includes the US reopening its embassy in Caracas on March 31 and lifting sanctions on interim leader Delcy Rodríguez on April 2, signaling normalization and reduced military risk. Congressional resolutions urge withdrawal from hostilities, while President Trump has directed military oversight via Secretary Pete Hegseth for the transitional government, though no new deployments are announced. Traders weigh this de-escalation against potential instability from Venezuelan hardliners or oil-related disputes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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