Trader consensus assigns a 99.1% implied probability to no US confirmation of a Havana Syndrome-causing device by March 31, reflecting multiple US intelligence assessments—including high-confidence CIA findings—that a foreign adversary is unlikely responsible, alongside NIH studies detecting no brain injuries tied to directed energy weapons like pulsed microwaves. Recent House Intelligence Committee hearings on March 21 featured victim testimonies and calls for further probes but produced no official evidence or announcements advancing device identification. Absent a sudden declassified report, whistleblower revelation, or breakthrough scientific validation in the final days, the absence of developments sustains this near-certain positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLes États-Unis confirment le dispositif causant le syndrome de La Havane d'ici le 31 mars ?
Les États-Unis confirment le dispositif causant le syndrome de La Havane d'ici le 31 mars ?
Oui
$54,113 Vol.
$54,113 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Oui
$54,113 Vol.
$54,113 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any U.S. federal agency definitively states that a man-made device or weapon exists that is responsible for, or capable of causing, Havana Syndrome or Havana Syndrome-like symptoms by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 99.1% implied probability to no US confirmation of a Havana Syndrome-causing device by March 31, reflecting multiple US intelligence assessments—including high-confidence CIA findings—that a foreign adversary is unlikely responsible, alongside NIH studies detecting no brain injuries tied to directed energy weapons like pulsed microwaves. Recent House Intelligence Committee hearings on March 21 featured victim testimonies and calls for further probes but produced no official evidence or announcements advancing device identification. Absent a sudden declassified report, whistleblower revelation, or breakthrough scientific validation in the final days, the absence of developments sustains this near-certain positioning.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any U.S. federal agency definitively states that a man-made device or weapon exists that is responsible for, or capable of causing, Havana Syndrome or Havana Syndrome-like symptoms by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 13, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Volume
$54,113Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 13, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any U.S. federal agency definitively states that a man-made device or weapon exists that is responsible for, or capable of causing, Havana Syndrome or Havana Syndrome-like symptoms by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 99.1% implied probability to no US confirmation of a Havana Syndrome-causing device by March 31, reflecting multiple US intelligence assessments—including high-confidence CIA findings—that a foreign adversary is unlikely responsible, alongside NIH studies detecting no brain injuries tied to directed energy weapons like pulsed microwaves. Recent House Intelligence Committee hearings on March 21 featured victim testimonies and calls for further probes but produced no official evidence or announcements advancing device identification. Absent a sudden declassified report, whistleblower revelation, or breakthrough scientific validation in the final days, the absence of developments sustains this near-certain positioning.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any U.S. federal agency definitively states that a man-made device or weapon exists that is responsible for, or capable of causing, Havana Syndrome or Havana Syndrome-like symptoms by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$54,113Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 13, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns a 99.1% implied probability to no US confirmation of a Havana Syndrome-causing device by March 31, reflecting multiple US intelligence assessments—including high-confidence CIA findings—that a foreign adversary is unlikely responsible, alongside NIH studies detecting no brain injuries tied to directed energy weapons like pulsed microwaves. Recent House Intelligence Committee hearings on March 21 featured victim testimonies and calls for further probes but produced no official evidence or announcements advancing device identification. Absent a sudden declassified report, whistleblower revelation, or breakthrough scientific validation in the final days, the absence of developments sustains this near-certain positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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